Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2018-12-27
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-12-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79852 |
11993 |
106 |
343 |
258 |
148 |
23 |
0 |
| OW |
61 |
319 |
51 |
210 |
112 |
31 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
95 |
32 |
373 |
156 |
48 |
18 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
27 |
3 |
214 |
257 |
43 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
2 |
77 |
460 |
117 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
8 |
3 |
53 |
570 |
2076 |
5734 |
5210 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79748 |
11755 |
94 |
371 |
309 |
168 |
15 |
0 |
| OW |
62 |
475 |
37 |
159 |
101 |
36 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
254 |
54 |
270 |
147 |
30 |
23 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
60 |
15 |
238 |
210 |
42 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
10 |
172 |
260 |
136 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
12 |
3 |
112 |
811 |
1911 |
5462 |
5515 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-12-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79043 |
12571 |
102 |
461 |
403 |
97 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
62 |
320 |
34 |
200 |
96 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
125 |
47 |
290 |
158 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
27 |
19 |
203 |
229 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
4 |
161 |
261 |
193 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
85 |
832 |
2042 |
6934 |
3931 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-12-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79497 |
11769 |
89 |
454 |
276 |
110 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
400 |
44 |
199 |
91 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
215 |
47 |
283 |
154 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
77 |
15 |
210 |
208 |
55 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
22 |
11 |
180 |
327 |
142 |
12 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
102 |
810 |
1882 |
5970 |
5352 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79498 |
11767 |
95 |
451 |
268 |
111 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
62 |
419 |
34 |
200 |
103 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
213 |
51 |
284 |
152 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
67 |
16 |
214 |
196 |
49 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
10 |
171 |
318 |
113 |
10 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
108 |
829 |
1913 |
5972 |
5352 |
|
Date: 2018-12-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78097 |
12543 |
111 |
493 |
269 |
115 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
458 |
40 |
197 |
127 |
25 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
178 |
42 |
324 |
189 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
47 |
16 |
229 |
231 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
133 |
437 |
131 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
633 |
2001 |
7499 |
4347 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78097 |
12560 |
109 |
498 |
280 |
114 |
9 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
429 |
43 |
194 |
126 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
186 |
41 |
324 |
180 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
47 |
15 |
222 |
216 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
133 |
408 |
115 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
676 |
2000 |
7498 |
4347 |
|
Date: 2018-12-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
76598 |
13101 |
158 |
701 |
314 |
108 |
53 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
284 |
57 |
373 |
97 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
91 |
22 |
453 |
349 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
0 |
138 |
518 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
550 |
246 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
545 |
1946 |
7584 |
4534 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
76596 |
12782 |
144 |
723 |
370 |
154 |
53 |
0 |
| OW |
65 |
464 |
53 |
382 |
155 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
179 |
32 |
310 |
331 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
55 |
6 |
178 |
330 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
15 |
3 |
107 |
476 |
169 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
711 |
1974 |
7583 |
4534 |
|
Date: 2019-01-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75832 |
13125 |
131 |
758 |
290 |
150 |
18 |
0 |
| OW |
66 |
208 |
52 |
460 |
191 |
32 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
67 |
17 |
430 |
342 |
95 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
2 |
136 |
572 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
40 |
610 |
252 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
591 |
2011 |
6797 |
5693 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75831 |
12639 |
118 |
722 |
300 |
179 |
26 |
0 |
| OW |
67 |
562 |
47 |
435 |
272 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
173 |
33 |
411 |
473 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
36 |
5 |
189 |
400 |
112 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
1 |
81 |
482 |
248 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
669 |
1936 |
6778 |
5693 |
|
Date: 2019-01-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75377 |
13127 |
185 |
770 |
360 |
101 |
40 |
0 |
| OW |
70 |
143 |
36 |
499 |
254 |
44 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
37 |
19 |
288 |
474 |
115 |
11 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
4 |
109 |
539 |
133 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
41 |
616 |
408 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
292 |
2095 |
6944 |
5923 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75376 |
12502 |
144 |
602 |
239 |
97 |
55 |
0 |
| OW |
71 |
463 |
48 |
384 |
284 |
58 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
297 |
39 |
407 |
523 |
109 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
43 |
10 |
201 |
544 |
191 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
104 |
532 |
336 |
40 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
413 |
2105 |
6926 |
5923 |
|
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