Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 963 9 26 2 0 0 0
OW 0 206 19 75 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 12 116 125 21 0 0
ODI 0 68 3 94 94 44 0 0
CDI 0 61 2 15 139 119 18 8
VCDI 0 65 11 99 260 1311 5142 22830
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 991 8 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 294 10 63 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 196 22 149 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 94 9 129 113 20 1 0
CDI 0 80 4 95 130 185 48 16
VCDI 0 84 13 96 397 2204 9176 17404
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1532 20 37 1 0 0 0
OW 0 260 20 98 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 20 181 132 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 6 83 163 38 0 0
CDI 0 16 2 54 195 258 40 13
VCDI 0 0 2 27 170 2611 10077 15880
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1410 6 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 424 16 44 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 239 32 221 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 7 105 141 32 0 0
CDI 0 27 4 69 161 158 48 70
VCDI 0 1 6 51 266 1578 9242 17623
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1481 5 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 377 16 50 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 220 33 220 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 7 109 133 31 0 0
CDI 0 28 6 56 151 150 47 75
VCDI 0 2 4 54 270 1587 9243 17618

Date: 2018-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1131 10 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 449 14 64 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 253 23 239 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 82 24 175 206 42 2 0
CDI 0 10 8 93 269 232 84 31
VCDI 0 0 0 30 415 2339 10724 15094
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1181 7 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 402 19 60 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 261 28 264 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 16 154 202 39 2 0
CDI 0 19 9 83 241 198 77 30
VCDI 0 0 0 40 452 2376 10731 15095

Date: 2018-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1522 18 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 207 25 148 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 23 267 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 10 126 263 35 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 257 245 137 41
VCDI 0 0 0 4 258 1566 9824 16893
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 931 8 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 420 13 33 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 270 21 151 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 139 7 162 132 39 13 0
CDI 0 39 27 166 267 203 122 61
VCDI 0 0 0 87 423 1604 9833 16873

Date: 2019-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1006 19 95 0 0 0 0
OW 0 127 28 231 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 4 130 224 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 47 214 72 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 20 185 349 25 18
VCDI 0 0 0 2 195 1178 7832 20021
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 760 8 39 1 0 0 0
OW 0 210 16 57 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 15 237 180 2 0 0
ODI 0 38 11 113 119 65 6 9
CDI 0 8 4 46 192 282 90 136
VCDI 0 0 0 33 350 1250 7761 19895

Date: 2019-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 774 13 39 5 0 0 0
OW 0 160 26 112 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 2 129 225 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 43 167 94 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 135 269 32 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 81 1060 6134 22453
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 597 7 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 196 5 32 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 19 128 145 11 0 0
ODI 0 33 7 56 189 108 0 0
CDI 0 10 5 62 119 203 58 70
VCDI 0 0 0 34 212 1125 6108 22387


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