Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80662 12610 147 486 163 121 0 0
OW 60 480 74 472 207 27 0 0
VODI 0 307 46 634 963 154 36 0
ODI 0 68 11 329 1568 733 156 0
CDI 0 15 3 289 1849 1465 337 65
VCDI 0 0 0 33 1410 7463 24303 49302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80784 12464 129 382 115 110 7 0
OW 71 571 74 448 104 11 0 0
VODI 0 429 53 589 716 223 21 0
ODI 0 85 22 426 1157 735 22 0
CDI 0 22 3 426 1150 1540 246 5
VCDI 0 5 0 66 1423 8187 28011 46216
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80367 13179 121 380 159 88 0 0
OW 60 609 89 537 228 16 0 0
VODI 0 231 52 846 807 229 1 0
ODI 0 33 10 283 863 767 100 0
CDI 0 14 2 146 946 1035 411 32
VCDI 0 0 0 29 888 7498 25757 50235
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80557 12531 118 367 175 123 22 0
OW 66 476 61 358 169 11 0 0
VODI 0 295 54 727 833 132 0 0
ODI 0 79 9 387 675 690 33 0
CDI 0 44 9 125 701 1026 379 31
VCDI 0 9 7 106 940 5111 22458 57154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80556 12616 131 421 183 121 21 0
OW 67 435 50 339 150 8 1 0
VODI 0 263 52 693 853 138 0 0
ODI 0 76 10 402 678 693 68 0
CDI 0 39 8 115 706 1037 383 36
VCDI 0 5 7 100 923 5096 22419 57149

Date: 2018-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79632 12929 105 398 303 161 15 0
OW 62 649 67 260 115 30 3 0
VODI 0 277 51 567 262 102 16 0
ODI 0 129 22 411 994 345 14 0
CDI 0 91 7 147 841 687 349 157
VCDI 0 97 17 197 1091 5481 20942 59025
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79632 13004 115 430 325 161 15 0
OW 62 601 63 274 100 27 1 0
VODI 0 291 48 517 269 102 13 0
ODI 0 117 21 420 956 378 27 5
CDI 0 80 7 163 860 717 302 169
VCDI 0 79 15 176 1096 5421 20981 59008

Date: 2018-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79097 14269 116 473 308 139 0 0
OW 61 452 93 369 119 33 0 0
VODI 0 181 51 575 331 32 0 0
ODI 0 51 12 297 773 163 11 0
CDI 0 30 5 159 971 1326 248 17
VCDI 0 0 8 85 1248 6883 24126 53936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79096 13275 102 476 374 175 0 0
OW 62 749 38 180 103 38 0 0
VODI 0 614 79 372 185 77 17 0
ODI 0 178 32 380 460 149 94 0
CDI 0 117 20 276 877 893 249 37
VCDI 0 50 14 274 1751 7244 24025 53916

Date: 2018-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79713 13242 109 454 321 97 0 0
OW 62 719 54 280 95 12 0 0
VODI 0 351 68 454 236 42 0 0
ODI 0 86 33 325 436 113 0 0
CDI 0 32 5 290 702 536 84 62
VCDI 0 3 4 125 1390 5741 27087 53685
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79712 12501 100 409 325 108 0 0
OW 63 819 39 216 80 15 0 0
VODI 0 764 66 316 221 54 1 0
ODI 0 225 38 441 299 123 55 0
CDI 0 85 19 294 650 439 315 75
VCDI 0 39 11 252 1605 5802 26800 53672

Date: 2018-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78393 13861 114 505 252 94 0 0
OW 63 918 55 220 99 12 0 0
VODI 0 631 75 449 197 19 0 0
ODI 0 129 32 387 335 66 6 0
CDI 0 51 8 270 813 465 86 43
VCDI 0 16 9 154 1761 6474 28566 51420
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78393 12995 103 460 325 104 0 0
OW 63 908 40 179 99 15 0 0
VODI 0 933 59 318 147 38 2 0
ODI 0 454 40 308 240 101 39 1
CDI 0 185 21 358 666 433 215 72
VCDI 0 131 30 362 1980 6439 28402 51390


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 03:07:28 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy