Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 1001 13 45 1 0 0 0
OW 0 222 9 58 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 309 9 60 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 170 12 48 47 17 1 0
CDI 0 143 9 90 88 104 37 57
VCDI 0 141 32 238 783 2591 6571 19092
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 1105 9 47 7 0 0 0
OW 0 310 13 44 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 334 11 59 40 4 0 0
ODI 0 205 16 104 41 22 0 0
CDI 0 160 11 114 76 79 11 16
VCDI 0 160 25 331 793 2265 6350 19270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1397 26 86 6 0 0 0
OW 0 276 17 146 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 16 141 120 8 0 0
ODI 0 38 16 126 260 32 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 165 293 284 31 24
VCDI 0 3 1 120 542 2915 8068 16729
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1123 21 76 10 0 0 0
OW 0 244 18 107 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 22 149 227 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 10 116 286 14 0 0
CDI 0 12 0 101 408 266 42 83
VCDI 0 1 1 22 612 3614 9211 15088
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1088 23 77 17 0 0 0
OW 0 260 14 107 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 24 137 207 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 8 121 264 19 0 0
CDI 0 16 2 99 372 285 34 83
VCDI 0 1 1 30 681 3590 9219 15088

Date: 2018-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1059 16 58 6 0 0 0
OW 0 227 16 87 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 13 113 186 14 0 0
ODI 0 47 14 81 122 109 0 0
CDI 0 15 3 29 213 420 47 13
VCDI 0 0 1 16 342 2014 9691 16935
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1028 17 64 12 0 0 0
OW 0 215 13 92 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 171 13 93 153 19 0 0
ODI 0 65 16 81 114 115 0 0
CDI 0 16 2 36 209 377 43 32
VCDI 0 1 2 18 358 2046 9695 16916

Date: 2018-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1461 25 88 0 0 0 0
OW 0 170 35 204 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 7 150 159 12 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 51 170 64 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 20 294 435 53 6
VCDI 0 0 0 2 131 2605 7049 18798
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1189 19 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 196 16 91 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 184 10 141 78 0 0 0
ODI 0 78 14 71 154 20 0 0
CDI 0 23 9 74 127 145 34 5
VCDI 0 6 1 63 425 2951 7068 18799

Date: 2018-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1033 14 36 2 0 0 0
OW 0 169 17 67 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 11 93 193 4 0 0
ODI 0 35 7 56 179 95 0 0
CDI 0 7 3 32 147 252 23 29
VCDI 0 0 0 11 157 1902 6078 21266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 856 12 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 224 8 31 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 15 67 95 0 0 0
ODI 0 69 7 75 177 17 0 0
CDI 0 65 2 23 170 211 19 11
VCDI 0 18 8 57 244 2025 6082 21284

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 963 9 26 2 0 0 0
OW 0 206 19 75 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 12 116 125 21 0 0
ODI 0 68 3 94 94 44 0 0
CDI 0 61 2 15 139 119 18 8
VCDI 0 65 11 99 260 1311 5142 22830
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 811 9 43 5 0 0 0
OW 0 240 9 60 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 17 73 65 3 0 0
ODI 0 64 8 72 86 19 0 0
CDI 0 85 0 60 128 84 27 45
VCDI 0 127 13 117 323 1389 5133 22793


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