Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82075 12862 125 581 346 259 3 0
OW 59 1139 78 621 517 399 9 0
VODI 0 650 79 739 471 312 31 0
ODI 0 254 33 368 720 296 74 0
CDI 0 173 14 250 891 1124 244 60
VCDI 0 147 36 413 1460 6797 24987 47352
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82107 11940 114 509 298 249 50 0
OW 66 1048 89 536 354 352 260 0
VODI 0 548 50 593 722 326 146 0
ODI 0 321 27 335 749 392 130 0
CDI 0 220 23 271 699 1159 284 21
VCDI 0 230 34 444 1353 6912 26116 46971
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80709 13140 145 616 252 190 0 0
OW 61 843 78 580 311 41 0 0
VODI 0 322 60 652 862 174 3 0
ODI 0 86 28 314 1059 682 584 0
CDI 0 20 11 322 1194 1581 734 29
VCDI 0 22 6 173 1196 8119 26474 45375
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80260 13025 162 561 192 122 14 0
OW 60 503 65 509 275 20 0 0
VODI 0 336 53 719 1037 142 6 0
ODI 0 55 16 334 1551 556 86 0
CDI 0 23 1 236 2123 1613 249 86
VCDI 0 1 1 39 1675 8720 26189 45433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80260 13022 168 612 218 126 14 0
OW 60 482 55 488 271 24 0 0
VODI 0 317 55 638 957 96 2 0
ODI 0 86 15 346 1417 458 70 0
CDI 0 35 4 252 2128 1670 258 86
VCDI 0 1 1 62 1862 8799 26200 45433

Date: 2018-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81236 12043 128 391 122 117 11 0
OW 71 525 69 426 170 40 0 0
VODI 2 347 46 480 841 240 50 0
ODI 0 68 18 311 1348 819 151 0
CDI 0 15 3 254 1570 1695 355 14
VCDI 0 0 1 52 1197 7464 26355 48003
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81233 12024 136 419 139 126 11 0
OW 73 471 63 422 218 48 0 0
VODI 3 396 41 422 734 183 1 0
ODI 0 90 21 305 1254 659 129 0
CDI 0 16 2 234 1572 1801 341 32
VCDI 0 1 2 112 1331 7558 26440 47985

Date: 2018-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80474 13263 148 421 109 92 0 0
OW 60 524 98 685 151 5 0 0
VODI 0 215 33 886 847 48 0 0
ODI 0 44 10 231 1429 519 58 0
CDI 0 6 3 87 1161 2442 275 6
VCDI 0 0 0 47 694 8648 28084 45245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80473 12735 146 407 121 98 0 0
OW 61 544 56 405 113 10 0 0
VODI 0 481 39 483 529 83 7 0
ODI 0 227 28 513 1072 629 74 0
CDI 0 59 22 349 1066 1269 173 5
VCDI 0 6 1 200 1490 9665 28163 45246

Date: 2018-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80251 13056 118 334 130 107 6 0
OW 64 524 66 367 175 13 0 0
VODI 0 283 51 700 1008 182 5 0
ODI 0 51 13 302 678 929 101 0
CDI 0 17 5 93 884 985 341 31
VCDI 0 0 1 47 830 5822 25029 53449
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80242 12670 107 335 133 113 6 0
OW 73 572 59 252 130 8 0 0
VODI 0 348 44 416 383 95 0 0
ODI 0 237 28 438 891 464 144 0
CDI 0 85 7 265 839 1122 482 15
VCDI 0 19 9 137 1329 6236 24850 53465

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79852 12956 115 369 260 148 23 0
OW 61 531 71 312 124 38 4 0
VODI 0 240 51 627 492 183 18 0
ODI 0 99 7 446 836 431 64 11
CDI 0 72 4 92 777 877 445 158
VCDI 0 73 14 152 886 4723 20155 60251
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79845 12525 111 442 335 157 24 0
OW 68 664 54 228 166 54 8 0
VODI 0 361 55 393 209 141 9 0
ODI 0 175 20 340 471 411 46 1
CDI 0 116 9 420 978 614 345 111
VCDI 0 130 13 175 1216 5023 20277 60308


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 03:02:06 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy