Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-11-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1223 22 90 41 0 0 0
OW 0 132 12 80 98 2 0 0
VODI 0 44 14 81 143 155 0 0
ODI 0 50 5 46 67 247 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 65 325 137 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 2766 10760 15342
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1078 20 74 44 1 0 0
OW 0 122 12 61 50 27 0 0
VODI 0 48 9 86 73 100 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 49 100 119 89 0
CDI 0 2 1 55 99 239 254 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1478 11563 16142
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 970 26 98 60 10 0 0
OW 0 53 20 73 51 23 1 0
VODI 0 21 3 81 92 28 15 0
ODI 0 3 2 26 135 55 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 92 267 192 44
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 663 10507 18413
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 825 29 80 19 23 0 0
OW 0 78 17 85 38 18 7 0
VODI 0 26 4 86 89 20 17 0
ODI 0 22 3 25 96 26 19 0
CDI 0 23 4 25 75 124 44 19
VCDI 0 0 0 17 90 1039 9581 19388
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 810 31 91 21 29 1 0
OW 0 93 12 87 39 15 6 0
VODI 0 36 8 74 96 14 18 0
ODI 0 29 4 30 93 39 19 0
CDI 0 6 2 34 74 128 53 22
VCDI 0 0 0 2 84 1025 9571 19385

Date: 2018-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 643 19 42 2 0 0 0
OW 0 138 12 57 29 17 12 0
VODI 0 80 7 54 66 11 26 0
ODI 0 50 5 25 85 12 23 0
CDI 0 33 4 30 72 68 55 20
VCDI 0 32 8 57 192 1009 10609 18442
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 680 26 61 4 6 3 0
OW 0 114 6 52 31 12 12 0
VODI 0 81 7 45 79 13 26 0
ODI 0 52 5 25 96 16 26 0
CDI 0 42 6 29 52 71 50 25
VCDI 0 7 5 53 184 999 10608 18437

Date: 2018-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71 966 21 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 141 6 86 21 8 0 0
VODI 0 140 5 41 51 24 13 0
ODI 0 70 7 40 42 10 20 0
CDI 0 94 12 103 112 40 66 11
VCDI 0 12 10 133 568 1707 8239 19151
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71 819 16 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 168 7 51 20 12 1 0
VODI 0 167 3 52 23 12 9 0
ODI 0 115 6 32 40 9 24 0
CDI 0 71 10 50 75 55 78 9
VCDI 0 83 19 218 636 1701 8226 19153

Date: 2018-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 1052 20 50 3 0 0 0
OW 0 197 3 65 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 177 6 49 63 14 0 0
ODI 0 123 3 24 48 53 0 0
CDI 0 147 14 75 85 152 41 30
VCDI 0 85 17 219 623 2746 9182 16643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 911 16 56 8 0 0 0
OW 0 244 2 40 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 224 9 34 42 7 0 0
ODI 0 146 5 47 39 34 0 1
CDI 0 118 5 45 80 90 30 79
VCDI 0 138 26 260 651 2834 9193 16593

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 1001 13 45 1 0 0 0
OW 0 222 9 58 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 309 9 60 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 170 12 48 47 17 1 0
CDI 0 143 9 90 88 104 37 57
VCDI 0 141 32 238 783 2591 6571 19092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 918 12 69 24 0 0 0
OW 0 310 8 34 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 322 5 47 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 176 12 55 52 30 2 0
CDI 0 98 14 85 91 104 70 74
VCDI 0 162 33 249 780 2578 6537 19075


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