Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83053 16729 191 1074 495 91 3 0
OW 50 1046 84 748 853 201 47 0
VODI 0 335 70 731 861 649 244 0
ODI 0 104 29 536 682 679 190 0
CDI 0 4 7 204 690 975 297 10
VCDI 0 0 0 62 1193 10301 26641 36889
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82447 16367 180 966 483 90 0 0
OW 43 1132 85 831 742 154 4 0
VODI 0 378 69 747 785 846 66 0
ODI 0 130 27 404 689 625 209 0
CDI 0 78 20 258 695 1089 414 13
VCDI 0 0 0 67 913 7442 23869 43691
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82403 16572 209 969 443 45 0 0
OW 37 755 127 920 428 76 1 0
VODI 0 246 38 756 1278 391 15 0
ODI 0 79 19 192 981 762 64 0
CDI 0 4 4 80 791 1257 439 52
VCDI 0 0 0 40 956 7108 26220 42291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82592 15569 196 854 280 95 0 0
OW 50 707 94 1006 587 36 7 0
VODI 0 211 56 810 1169 398 17 0
ODI 0 105 24 367 883 688 31 0
CDI 0 29 11 204 939 1020 152 24
VCDI 0 0 0 81 1170 7109 25364 44113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82592 15548 206 992 408 105 1 0
OW 50 691 76 827 375 26 6 0
VODI 0 249 62 821 1140 259 18 0
ODI 0 121 25 396 944 567 26 0
CDI 0 12 12 220 953 1173 146 30
VCDI 0 0 0 66 1208 7216 25374 44107

Date: 2018-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82434 15092 156 689 272 155 8 0
OW 50 921 99 877 525 57 12 0
VODI 0 351 51 779 1151 381 26 0
ODI 0 201 31 416 675 770 23 0
CDI 0 81 13 279 813 1076 106 21
VCDI 0 32 11 174 1333 7134 28088 41685
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82433 15013 173 814 437 166 11 0
OW 51 928 79 698 323 37 12 0
VODI 0 427 52 820 1047 228 26 0
ODI 0 215 31 408 850 565 27 0
CDI 0 88 20 291 758 1268 119 26
VCDI 0 7 6 183 1354 7309 28068 41680

Date: 2018-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83287 14359 180 885 300 162 0 0
OW 66 875 85 787 345 46 0 0
VODI 0 313 46 801 1223 161 13 0
ODI 0 116 23 319 941 670 22 0
CDI 0 98 16 237 755 1893 341 13
VCDI 0 12 10 183 1277 7427 22516 46245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83290 13422 145 835 384 184 0 0
OW 63 1133 54 509 470 74 1 0
VODI 0 672 56 609 643 319 9 0
ODI 0 262 39 427 730 469 38 0
CDI 0 186 40 376 758 1165 284 15
VCDI 0 98 26 456 1856 8148 22560 46243

Date: 2018-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82326 14306 153 799 503 263 0 0
OW 63 954 96 640 263 142 0 0
VODI 0 491 65 660 642 250 3 0
ODI 0 180 14 302 986 463 99 0
CDI 0 187 22 287 725 988 450 31
VCDI 0 87 21 361 1538 8767 29158 39763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82324 13436 132 749 512 349 0 0
OW 65 1132 52 462 306 140 0 0
VODI 0 943 87 522 495 275 78 0
ODI 0 277 38 417 605 354 158 1
CDI 0 186 17 249 846 557 393 81
VCDI 0 231 45 650 1893 9198 29081 39712

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82075 12862 125 581 346 259 3 0
OW 59 1139 78 621 517 399 9 0
VODI 0 650 79 739 471 312 31 0
ODI 0 254 33 368 720 296 74 0
CDI 0 173 14 250 891 1124 244 60
VCDI 0 147 36 413 1460 6797 24987 47352
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82074 12353 125 717 584 420 11 0
OW 60 1124 54 388 366 361 17 0
VODI 0 936 64 551 407 372 70 0
ODI 0 357 39 391 574 304 199 0
CDI 0 165 27 265 736 689 358 78
VCDI 0 290 56 660 1738 7041 24693 47334


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