Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2018-11-22
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-11-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85870 |
9023 |
78 |
300 |
110 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
30 |
399 |
35 |
233 |
77 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
132 |
18 |
256 |
235 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
3 |
153 |
367 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
26 |
0 |
63 |
349 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
22 |
2 |
19 |
396 |
2437 |
5616 |
2564 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84865 |
9766 |
85 |
267 |
107 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
29 |
334 |
35 |
242 |
69 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
162 |
23 |
324 |
194 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
25 |
3 |
108 |
362 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
59 |
449 |
270 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
386 |
3205 |
5436 |
2224 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
83477 |
10980 |
105 |
370 |
132 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
30 |
241 |
34 |
338 |
125 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
113 |
24 |
254 |
282 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
21 |
3 |
110 |
299 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
413 |
282 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
639 |
3846 |
4676 |
2150 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
83047 |
10587 |
97 |
431 |
209 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
35 |
369 |
43 |
202 |
151 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
140 |
33 |
317 |
311 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
21 |
13 |
201 |
352 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
3 |
114 |
514 |
254 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
545 |
3403 |
5025 |
2510 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
83047 |
10593 |
97 |
421 |
227 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
35 |
337 |
36 |
186 |
112 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
165 |
40 |
327 |
308 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
22 |
13 |
216 |
362 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
3 |
117 |
535 |
230 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
538 |
3426 |
5025 |
2510 |
|
Date: 2018-11-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82407 |
10829 |
104 |
512 |
289 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
35 |
338 |
28 |
195 |
171 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
200 |
41 |
237 |
211 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
61 |
14 |
212 |
247 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
9 |
143 |
392 |
323 |
14 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
665 |
3229 |
3727 |
4135 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82407 |
10807 |
102 |
499 |
279 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
35 |
302 |
27 |
182 |
162 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
238 |
39 |
223 |
207 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
73 |
17 |
250 |
242 |
110 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
14 |
11 |
145 |
390 |
292 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
695 |
3255 |
3720 |
4135 |
|
Date: 2018-11-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82233 |
10935 |
121 |
569 |
304 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
35 |
208 |
41 |
292 |
214 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
80 |
12 |
258 |
405 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
13 |
10 |
132 |
384 |
190 |
10 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
404 |
548 |
39 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
344 |
2376 |
4044 |
4661 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82218 |
10581 |
97 |
513 |
352 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
50 |
281 |
26 |
179 |
184 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
206 |
28 |
209 |
214 |
88 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
106 |
17 |
159 |
256 |
149 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
52 |
10 |
147 |
328 |
239 |
38 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
10 |
6 |
90 |
721 |
2711 |
4051 |
4661 |
|
Date: 2018-11-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82959 |
10360 |
123 |
498 |
199 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
50 |
183 |
48 |
312 |
150 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
90 |
18 |
262 |
297 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
13 |
121 |
353 |
63 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
2 |
68 |
366 |
277 |
28 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
663 |
3091 |
4800 |
3557 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82958 |
9957 |
92 |
401 |
229 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
51 |
325 |
34 |
213 |
113 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
209 |
35 |
252 |
186 |
42 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
95 |
22 |
182 |
247 |
66 |
12 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
53 |
12 |
126 |
326 |
146 |
38 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
16 |
9 |
113 |
927 |
3205 |
4782 |
3557 |
|
Date: 2018-11-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82343 |
10860 |
94 |
393 |
198 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
50 |
250 |
54 |
300 |
95 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
96 |
27 |
339 |
206 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
7 |
184 |
268 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
5 |
152 |
344 |
256 |
13 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
898 |
2318 |
4866 |
4182 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82342 |
10467 |
77 |
336 |
224 |
136 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
51 |
337 |
27 |
162 |
79 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
241 |
37 |
260 |
119 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
108 |
20 |
247 |
150 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
61 |
14 |
218 |
284 |
99 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
31 |
12 |
201 |
1153 |
2439 |
4877 |
4182 |
|
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