Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2018-11-22
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-11-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
360 |
1789 |
31 |
122 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
326 |
21 |
164 |
73 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
42 |
3 |
250 |
220 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
283 |
129 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
189 |
487 |
41 |
53 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
161 |
3679 |
8996 |
14431 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
242 |
1521 |
33 |
130 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
10 |
295 |
16 |
154 |
139 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
93 |
2 |
51 |
317 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
2 |
25 |
296 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
237 |
485 |
52 |
41 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
224 |
3782 |
10967 |
12779 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
261 |
1624 |
26 |
66 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
163 |
19 |
221 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
60 |
1 |
53 |
360 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
13 |
184 |
177 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
172 |
395 |
15 |
15 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
227 |
4982 |
9071 |
13854 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3 |
1321 |
23 |
92 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
104 |
15 |
120 |
131 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
23 |
10 |
98 |
211 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
3 |
24 |
106 |
195 |
47 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
126 |
341 |
134 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
188 |
4436 |
9966 |
14140 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3 |
1277 |
23 |
116 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
134 |
12 |
84 |
135 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
37 |
13 |
104 |
192 |
113 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
40 |
3 |
24 |
104 |
172 |
19 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
16 |
125 |
325 |
102 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
191 |
4501 |
10026 |
14140 |
|
Date: 2018-11-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1174 |
22 |
72 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
147 |
11 |
68 |
66 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
67 |
8 |
75 |
119 |
115 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
37 |
5 |
73 |
92 |
215 |
23 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
7 |
34 |
52 |
305 |
142 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
87 |
2087 |
11131 |
15796 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1147 |
22 |
80 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
157 |
10 |
49 |
62 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
77 |
6 |
78 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
40 |
9 |
77 |
93 |
217 |
11 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
15 |
6 |
41 |
60 |
271 |
124 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
86 |
2129 |
11161 |
15796 |
|
Date: 2018-11-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
1069 |
28 |
99 |
47 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
43 |
14 |
109 |
37 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
17 |
4 |
95 |
135 |
46 |
8 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
149 |
129 |
50 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
235 |
264 |
32 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
949 |
11054 |
17356 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
975 |
28 |
86 |
58 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
107 |
6 |
60 |
36 |
29 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
35 |
8 |
101 |
74 |
35 |
27 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
2 |
44 |
67 |
93 |
67 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
2 |
32 |
155 |
178 |
223 |
44 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
42 |
1028 |
11058 |
17344 |
|
Date: 2018-11-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
890 |
22 |
86 |
53 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
50 |
23 |
81 |
49 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
22 |
3 |
79 |
94 |
30 |
14 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
6 |
29 |
94 |
33 |
24 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
136 |
179 |
69 |
40 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
894 |
10167 |
18768 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
843 |
27 |
88 |
75 |
43 |
9 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
67 |
10 |
70 |
45 |
10 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
41 |
12 |
70 |
87 |
32 |
37 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
13 |
0 |
27 |
78 |
44 |
52 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
14 |
3 |
12 |
109 |
173 |
139 |
20 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
29 |
104 |
869 |
10020 |
18788 |
|
Date: 2018-11-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14 |
739 |
24 |
53 |
7 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
98 |
18 |
82 |
29 |
23 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
49 |
6 |
89 |
75 |
15 |
21 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
21 |
1 |
25 |
102 |
21 |
18 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
30 |
4 |
32 |
81 |
72 |
41 |
29 |
| VCDI |
0 |
14 |
4 |
39 |
127 |
1118 |
9545 |
19394 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14 |
769 |
32 |
116 |
46 |
57 |
57 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
95 |
9 |
72 |
58 |
16 |
29 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
38 |
7 |
67 |
99 |
43 |
48 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
24 |
3 |
19 |
75 |
42 |
49 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
4 |
17 |
63 |
129 |
102 |
72 |
| VCDI |
0 |
6 |
2 |
29 |
80 |
979 |
9345 |
19351 |
|
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