Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89193 17354 215 1208 386 53 0 0
OW 109 857 66 546 514 59 0 0
VODI 8 197 24 590 864 285 10 0
ODI 0 31 4 299 938 495 26 0
CDI 0 29 2 159 825 1163 132 53
VCDI 0 22 2 75 651 8348 26599 34657
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87238 17116 234 1401 795 63 0 0
OW 130 859 80 731 631 76 0 0
VODI 31 296 31 476 852 198 0 0
ODI 0 46 6 146 901 514 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 75 800 1524 70 43
VCDI 0 0 0 28 811 9783 27152 33906
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84290 18273 246 1244 593 102 0 0
OW 54 701 101 1138 856 255 0 0
VODI 0 299 42 496 1157 501 0 0
ODI 0 23 3 138 795 690 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 811 1346 22 18
VCDI 0 0 0 19 1248 13514 21557 36437
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83518 16672 201 1203 436 67 0 0
OW 53 834 96 924 956 213 7 0
VODI 0 324 68 749 1119 634 68 0
ODI 0 114 31 357 766 649 138 0
CDI 0 5 5 159 928 1060 320 29
VCDI 0 0 0 66 1315 12451 25259 35254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83517 16700 214 1290 541 127 0 0
OW 54 806 74 817 731 213 6 0
VODI 0 357 88 774 1228 517 54 0
ODI 0 76 20 351 780 665 110 0
CDI 0 10 5 165 936 1041 336 34
VCDI 0 0 0 61 1304 12511 25286 35249

Date: 2018-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82539 16709 187 1050 419 122 1 0
OW 42 1101 86 752 925 171 24 0
VODI 0 395 76 716 848 797 89 0
ODI 0 118 26 508 673 786 93 0
CDI 0 17 17 259 646 1146 213 1
VCDI 0 0 0 46 1029 9337 24148 40936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82539 16849 195 1101 539 148 15 0
OW 42 871 69 684 691 154 32 0
VODI 0 457 78 730 920 739 66 0
ODI 0 134 33 527 691 788 70 0
CDI 0 29 17 249 647 1140 197 3
VCDI 0 0 0 40 1052 9390 24188 40934

Date: 2018-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82596 16556 192 857 376 85 0 0
OW 37 805 131 1110 424 84 6 0
VODI 0 265 45 889 1457 324 19 0
ODI 0 69 18 231 1071 1016 129 0
CDI 0 3 2 59 727 1448 532 39
VCDI 0 1 0 21 497 6580 24723 43624
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82581 16069 184 1039 629 145 1 0
OW 52 878 76 711 506 166 8 0
VODI 0 422 76 695 920 591 55 0
ODI 0 173 29 341 673 598 187 0
CDI 0 129 15 237 778 947 374 49
VCDI 0 28 8 144 1046 7090 24784 43614

Date: 2018-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83252 15432 197 876 298 48 0 0
OW 50 723 129 1018 442 44 0 0
VODI 0 243 45 787 1141 443 14 0
ODI 0 85 27 260 1029 643 50 0
CDI 0 8 4 130 921 1118 213 43
VCDI 0 0 0 52 1098 7277 27456 41452
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83250 14875 191 1011 591 161 9 0
OW 52 844 74 693 513 339 17 0
VODI 0 416 63 622 815 459 82 0
ODI 0 171 35 321 680 503 171 0
CDI 0 142 27 257 854 961 328 22
VCDI 0 43 12 219 1476 7150 27126 41473

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82487 15334 175 769 316 124 0 0
OW 50 754 106 828 722 60 5 0
VODI 0 276 52 718 1178 463 26 0
ODI 0 140 30 379 802 680 80 0
CDI 0 58 16 270 842 1030 110 34
VCDI 0 14 4 115 1309 6970 26222 43500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82486 14665 171 958 574 210 57 0
OW 51 947 63 498 744 375 34 0
VODI 0 442 56 503 841 584 112 0
ODI 0 215 29 337 615 537 142 0
CDI 0 160 30 405 610 869 327 83
VCDI 0 147 34 378 1785 6752 25771 43451


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 02:45:45 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy