Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2018-11-15
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-11-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
88170 |
8584 |
58 |
285 |
75 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
19 |
307 |
26 |
195 |
245 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
121 |
26 |
179 |
214 |
161 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
25 |
7 |
121 |
152 |
233 |
37 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
4 |
97 |
232 |
303 |
216 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
259 |
3157 |
3878 |
1673 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
86447 |
9488 |
68 |
260 |
82 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
20 |
485 |
30 |
309 |
228 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
141 |
25 |
216 |
326 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
41 |
8 |
122 |
195 |
147 |
36 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
20 |
1 |
81 |
228 |
275 |
140 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
4 |
3 |
10 |
260 |
3224 |
4223 |
1845 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
86300 |
9541 |
90 |
300 |
93 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
23 |
219 |
24 |
250 |
169 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
79 |
16 |
246 |
388 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
29 |
6 |
98 |
250 |
119 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
1 |
35 |
227 |
341 |
190 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
6 |
4 |
30 |
167 |
2214 |
5227 |
2298 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85232 |
10009 |
77 |
281 |
76 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
28 |
374 |
29 |
241 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
148 |
23 |
271 |
235 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
22 |
6 |
142 |
434 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
3 |
57 |
398 |
108 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
312 |
2462 |
5660 |
2303 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85232 |
10079 |
79 |
273 |
77 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
28 |
321 |
28 |
220 |
41 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
132 |
25 |
313 |
203 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
24 |
3 |
137 |
438 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
16 |
3 |
49 |
466 |
165 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
282 |
2408 |
5659 |
2303 |
|
Date: 2018-11-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85460 |
9204 |
72 |
259 |
111 |
66 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
29 |
379 |
37 |
208 |
106 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
162 |
17 |
293 |
214 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
24 |
5 |
139 |
339 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
3 |
97 |
414 |
176 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
47 |
388 |
2941 |
5285 |
2550 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85460 |
9262 |
71 |
267 |
117 |
63 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
29 |
358 |
39 |
198 |
97 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
130 |
17 |
296 |
196 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
4 |
156 |
333 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
3 |
80 |
517 |
153 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
46 |
312 |
2972 |
5286 |
2550 |
|
Date: 2018-11-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84041 |
10750 |
104 |
298 |
96 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
29 |
223 |
40 |
408 |
134 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
16 |
11 |
281 |
279 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
1 |
71 |
405 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
463 |
322 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
312 |
3772 |
4891 |
2006 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84041 |
10380 |
77 |
271 |
132 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
29 |
318 |
33 |
194 |
61 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
216 |
37 |
294 |
172 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
77 |
7 |
220 |
227 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
3 |
81 |
491 |
180 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
606 |
3904 |
4889 |
2006 |
|
Date: 2018-11-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84278 |
9806 |
97 |
368 |
137 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
37 |
291 |
43 |
277 |
134 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
136 |
19 |
323 |
285 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
59 |
12 |
160 |
282 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
46 |
1 |
113 |
359 |
245 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
65 |
804 |
3543 |
4709 |
2372 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84277 |
9533 |
88 |
378 |
208 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
38 |
258 |
33 |
187 |
97 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
249 |
24 |
263 |
221 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
164 |
14 |
157 |
201 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
84 |
12 |
188 |
263 |
239 |
6 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
53 |
1 |
133 |
1011 |
3516 |
4703 |
2372 |
|
Date: 2018-11-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82855 |
10654 |
99 |
462 |
257 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
35 |
353 |
35 |
196 |
135 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
172 |
35 |
254 |
257 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
39 |
15 |
249 |
251 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
7 |
160 |
388 |
253 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
719 |
3530 |
4728 |
2720 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82852 |
10381 |
83 |
444 |
318 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
38 |
381 |
28 |
128 |
110 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
269 |
35 |
221 |
201 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
136 |
26 |
219 |
216 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
50 |
15 |
206 |
326 |
211 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
4 |
160 |
836 |
3516 |
4728 |
2720 |
|
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