Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2018-11-15
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-11-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
6510 |
5495 |
65 |
319 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
36 |
242 |
25 |
421 |
207 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
6 |
132 |
16 |
237 |
421 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
17 |
3 |
27 |
353 |
296 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
16 |
5 |
28 |
201 |
669 |
83 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
175 |
4478 |
15069 |
10189 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
6181 |
5072 |
51 |
373 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
20 |
252 |
15 |
235 |
291 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
178 |
14 |
163 |
467 |
126 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
25 |
7 |
84 |
297 |
317 |
8 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
21 |
5 |
38 |
157 |
523 |
106 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
104 |
3613 |
12527 |
14480 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5850 |
5147 |
54 |
385 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
23 |
148 |
12 |
179 |
235 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
113 |
15 |
124 |
384 |
233 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
34 |
5 |
121 |
349 |
345 |
12 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
15 |
7 |
34 |
124 |
625 |
62 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
38 |
3073 |
13354 |
14563 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3450 |
6748 |
87 |
623 |
99 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
62 |
146 |
10 |
183 |
309 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
38 |
10 |
96 |
435 |
178 |
22 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
44 |
8 |
82 |
333 |
283 |
25 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
1 |
62 |
267 |
440 |
100 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
97 |
2456 |
12326 |
16795 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3480 |
6722 |
87 |
565 |
132 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
32 |
159 |
11 |
215 |
247 |
34 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
46 |
9 |
118 |
456 |
189 |
26 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
46 |
8 |
88 |
358 |
250 |
23 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
1 |
67 |
253 |
438 |
82 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
94 |
2471 |
12341 |
16795 |
|
Date: 2018-11-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2497 |
6181 |
114 |
1086 |
402 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
95 |
183 |
23 |
251 |
331 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
15 |
28 |
5 |
91 |
406 |
156 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
35 |
283 |
329 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
317 |
556 |
36 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
188 |
2618 |
10808 |
18662 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2532 |
6141 |
115 |
1011 |
423 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
72 |
221 |
22 |
297 |
289 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
30 |
4 |
109 |
423 |
173 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
1 |
43 |
308 |
319 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
290 |
546 |
43 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
194 |
2615 |
10797 |
18666 |
|
Date: 2018-11-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1160 |
6024 |
89 |
640 |
570 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
29 |
407 |
33 |
496 |
586 |
184 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
117 |
13 |
120 |
559 |
395 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
0 |
6 |
280 |
442 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
118 |
1088 |
95 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
82 |
2422 |
10289 |
19567 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1164 |
6215 |
97 |
768 |
780 |
158 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
26 |
250 |
32 |
337 |
495 |
152 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
83 |
5 |
131 |
429 |
211 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
1 |
17 |
208 |
293 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
106 |
648 |
56 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
177 |
3104 |
10328 |
19569 |
|
Date: 2018-11-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
481 |
5107 |
99 |
801 |
307 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
18 |
265 |
41 |
547 |
716 |
358 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
173 |
30 |
296 |
527 |
474 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
0 |
79 |
281 |
475 |
15 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
305 |
672 |
22 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
717 |
4766 |
7901 |
20308 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
481 |
5177 |
119 |
1019 |
704 |
311 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
18 |
270 |
31 |
351 |
409 |
481 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
94 |
19 |
291 |
452 |
606 |
25 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
1 |
58 |
280 |
266 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
15 |
176 |
315 |
14 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
22 |
832 |
4808 |
7898 |
20308 |
|
Date: 2018-11-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
198 |
4852 |
70 |
522 |
197 |
6 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
15 |
561 |
37 |
472 |
620 |
196 |
47 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
119 |
21 |
396 |
461 |
473 |
244 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
9 |
241 |
364 |
360 |
165 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
237 |
397 |
160 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
380 |
4005 |
11153 |
18827 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
198 |
5035 |
86 |
822 |
707 |
102 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
14 |
299 |
23 |
384 |
377 |
412 |
146 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
159 |
16 |
275 |
345 |
544 |
275 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
49 |
8 |
123 |
234 |
276 |
186 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
4 |
53 |
166 |
245 |
154 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
430 |
3858 |
11004 |
18835 |
|
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