Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2018-11-08
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2020 |
3272 |
72 |
439 |
123 |
34 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
818 |
67 |
573 |
480 |
128 |
37 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
236 |
50 |
634 |
1272 |
951 |
25 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
1 |
105 |
677 |
1744 |
158 |
23 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
1372 |
659 |
41 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
2191 |
10761 |
2940 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1761 |
2508 |
13 |
183 |
467 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
582 |
56 |
334 |
464 |
156 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
227 |
23 |
356 |
779 |
1025 |
171 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
6 |
115 |
645 |
1200 |
666 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
213 |
1284 |
1204 |
59 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
1104 |
9971 |
6443 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1166 |
2912 |
47 |
197 |
30 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
37 |
18 |
248 |
203 |
249 |
21 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
1 |
192 |
848 |
585 |
43 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
529 |
1669 |
136 |
16 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
1872 |
1582 |
121 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
977 |
9945 |
8220 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-08:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
631 |
2571 |
38 |
153 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
184 |
33 |
300 |
167 |
17 |
15 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
40 |
2 |
104 |
351 |
248 |
246 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
296 |
780 |
394 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
367 |
1511 |
695 |
51 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
2432 |
11765 |
8484 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
631 |
2560 |
42 |
201 |
51 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
198 |
27 |
242 |
155 |
18 |
31 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
37 |
4 |
114 |
351 |
290 |
197 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
273 |
756 |
345 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
362 |
1330 |
735 |
46 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
2593 |
11807 |
8489 |
|
Date: 2018-11-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
423 |
2422 |
29 |
133 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
373 |
28 |
198 |
114 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
77 |
18 |
265 |
247 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
227 |
349 |
201 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
18 |
110 |
849 |
977 |
91 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
18 |
164 |
2996 |
11647 |
9967 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
423 |
2412 |
32 |
172 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
356 |
21 |
162 |
112 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
104 |
22 |
259 |
224 |
114 |
9 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
218 |
323 |
183 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
17 |
114 |
763 |
844 |
94 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
173 |
3082 |
11789 |
9964 |
|
Date: 2018-11-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
876 |
1850 |
33 |
147 |
122 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
222 |
10 |
175 |
164 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
3 |
160 |
439 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
7 |
183 |
275 |
30 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
84 |
1013 |
385 |
284 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
129 |
2930 |
10448 |
11993 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
877 |
1807 |
21 |
116 |
106 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
205 |
17 |
142 |
132 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
67 |
8 |
205 |
377 |
121 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
202 |
228 |
57 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
107 |
678 |
416 |
160 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
20 |
197 |
3260 |
10390 |
12116 |
|
Date: 2018-11-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
295 |
2066 |
33 |
109 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
3 |
347 |
17 |
163 |
111 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
51 |
10 |
273 |
241 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
3 |
58 |
318 |
58 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
246 |
423 |
57 |
45 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
272 |
4214 |
9284 |
13323 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
298 |
1946 |
20 |
79 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
287 |
18 |
100 |
43 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
196 |
13 |
242 |
285 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
10 |
151 |
260 |
108 |
1 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
20 |
2 |
45 |
214 |
434 |
106 |
53 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
373 |
4149 |
9236 |
13311 |
|
Date: 2018-11-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
360 |
1789 |
31 |
122 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
326 |
21 |
164 |
73 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
42 |
3 |
250 |
220 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
283 |
129 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
189 |
487 |
41 |
53 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
161 |
3679 |
8996 |
14431 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
362 |
1577 |
28 |
135 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
309 |
9 |
72 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
213 |
13 |
189 |
156 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
48 |
4 |
142 |
260 |
137 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
1 |
79 |
165 |
358 |
39 |
106 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
268 |
3780 |
8999 |
14378 |
|
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