Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100749 15760 190 959 383 46 2 0
OW 11 1461 132 1130 1010 318 37 0
VODI 0 327 87 1076 1900 1479 65 0
ODI 0 28 6 243 1287 2446 408 23
CDI 0 11 3 68 697 2778 1062 82
VCDI 0 0 0 21 458 9352 28143 12810
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98093 16123 156 967 823 32 0 0
OW 20 1153 106 729 1014 341 5 0
VODI 0 364 56 721 1429 1831 178 0
ODI 0 29 20 257 1104 2024 745 0
CDI 0 11 2 78 615 2356 1881 61
VCDI 0 0 0 37 531 6607 27946 18603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97780 16434 180 826 289 25 0 0
OW 59 545 66 612 513 270 21 0
VODI 4 216 36 548 1486 929 43 0
ODI 0 29 9 240 1046 2490 181 16
CDI 0 30 4 59 674 3137 2041 121
VCDI 0 0 0 20 398 6669 27292 21710
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94320 18121 168 790 245 4 0 0
OW 48 829 82 793 563 46 15 0
VODI 2 219 44 561 936 523 246 0
ODI 0 16 2 168 850 1306 444 0
CDI 0 21 5 65 946 2571 1158 51
VCDI 0 4 2 22 563 9270 29241 21788
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94321 18134 180 957 321 5 0 0
OW 48 764 65 582 472 60 31 0
VODI 1 265 46 577 886 571 197 0
ODI 0 27 4 185 844 1265 401 0
CDI 0 20 6 61 950 2349 1093 46
VCDI 0 0 2 37 630 9470 29382 21793

Date: 2018-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94502 16274 150 795 140 11 0 0
OW 55 972 68 740 668 19 0 0
VODI 0 426 68 601 1008 285 0 0
ODI 0 54 14 246 679 881 230 0
CDI 0 35 10 136 458 1803 1196 91
VCDI 0 2 3 42 581 10372 28550 24883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94498 16264 165 926 209 12 0 0
OW 58 959 48 616 517 18 0 0
VODI 1 443 69 575 1038 292 9 0
ODI 0 57 17 247 683 826 211 0
CDI 0 39 11 136 434 1807 1003 94
VCDI 0 1 3 60 653 10416 28753 24880

Date: 2018-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93582 16369 182 876 329 6 0 0
OW 41 624 45 640 588 60 0 0
VODI 0 171 39 616 1338 342 0 0
ODI 0 32 8 162 873 839 65 0
CDI 0 25 6 62 416 1991 770 286
VCDI 0 0 2 16 352 9167 28643 27485
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93574 15828 152 794 329 11 0 0
OW 49 799 54 600 581 40 0 0
VODI 0 417 42 494 1151 321 0 0
ODI 0 109 18 278 625 737 129 1
CDI 0 50 11 129 545 1234 664 164
VCDI 0 18 5 77 665 10062 28685 27606

Date: 2018-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90330 18374 210 745 186 18 0 0
OW 73 775 53 705 385 30 0 0
VODI 1 183 50 743 1050 160 0 0
ODI 0 84 10 271 1064 410 10 0
CDI 0 18 5 105 833 1060 156 45
VCDI 0 2 2 28 558 9299 27645 31372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90271 17739 177 700 199 18 0 0
OW 128 947 57 521 399 14 0 0
VODI 5 537 59 717 1094 182 0 0
ODI 0 134 23 394 844 521 43 4
CDI 0 55 9 161 718 1005 290 54
VCDI 0 24 5 104 822 9237 27478 31359

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89193 17354 215 1208 386 53 0 0
OW 109 857 66 546 514 59 0 0
VODI 8 197 24 590 864 285 10 0
ODI 0 31 4 299 938 495 26 0
CDI 0 29 2 159 825 1163 132 53
VCDI 0 22 2 75 651 8348 26599 34657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89160 16782 205 1150 574 57 0 0
OW 131 961 48 476 432 96 0 0
VODI 19 578 47 572 788 467 11 0
ODI 0 98 7 330 923 536 37 0
CDI 0 42 2 173 650 851 207 117
VCDI 0 29 4 176 811 8396 26512 34593


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 02:34:37 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy