Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-11-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92112 6849 38 135 9 43 0 0
OW 0 168 15 166 151 28 0 0
VODI 0 49 14 142 218 83 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 86 155 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 56 150 122 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 223 3064 3555 1408
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91875 6785 42 156 25 19 0 0
OW 1 178 18 184 92 56 0 0
VODI 0 50 13 118 236 46 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 64 276 58 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 232 128 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 2820 3927 1566
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91506 7160 51 175 48 0 0 0
OW 0 165 22 182 73 2 0 0
VODI 0 55 12 151 169 36 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 76 239 81 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 224 208 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 168 2720 3904 1628
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90150 8058 62 217 48 6 0 0
OW 6 253 29 166 81 23 0 0
VODI 0 42 14 147 174 49 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 57 178 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 153 367 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 165 2648 4094 1766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90150 8135 64 230 53 8 0 0
OW 6 179 30 172 72 20 0 0
VODI 0 37 11 140 210 63 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 50 164 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 158 339 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 142 2632 4094 1766

Date: 2018-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88633 8881 68 395 86 0 0 0
OW 8 237 20 257 301 6 0 0
VODI 0 88 15 151 190 35 4 0
ODI 0 3 6 96 186 56 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 244 146 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 309 2517 4099 1990
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88633 8921 69 478 132 1 0 0
OW 8 207 20 176 252 5 0 0
VODI 0 80 18 155 232 44 6 0
ODI 0 1 2 96 164 65 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 281 151 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 255 2494 4099 1990

Date: 2018-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88498 8782 73 433 105 4 0 0
OW 11 192 26 220 224 24 0 0
VODI 0 57 14 208 361 272 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 60 180 136 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 229 361 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 211 2314 3746 2290
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88498 8623 69 469 223 6 0 0
OW 11 266 11 115 181 63 0 0
VODI 0 116 21 133 225 238 7 0
ODI 0 25 12 133 153 129 4 0
CDI 0 3 3 79 178 185 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 350 2490 3746 2290

Date: 2018-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87395 9493 84 458 229 5 0 0
OW 18 208 13 172 227 6 0 0
VODI 0 74 18 152 341 191 0 0
ODI 0 16 2 116 185 298 3 0
CDI 0 12 2 36 203 376 18 0
VCDI 0 2 0 33 250 2262 3568 2634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87399 9018 67 441 277 5 0 0
OW 14 482 17 146 268 46 0 0
VODI 0 172 12 108 260 231 0 0
ODI 0 75 14 89 146 248 11 0
CDI 0 29 6 93 136 260 7 0
VCDI 0 29 3 90 348 2348 3571 2634

Date: 2018-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88170 8584 58 285 75 5 0 0
OW 19 307 26 195 245 17 0 0
VODI 0 121 26 179 214 161 0 0
ODI 0 25 7 121 152 233 37 0
CDI 0 1 4 97 232 303 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 259 3157 3878 1673
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88172 7932 59 310 272 5 0 0
OW 17 629 18 139 206 103 0 0
VODI 0 262 13 91 99 218 44 0
ODI 0 109 16 94 72 266 138 0
CDI 0 69 7 115 109 167 115 0
VCDI 0 37 8 146 419 3117 3834 1673


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