Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2018-11-01
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-10-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3732 |
6544 |
88 |
475 |
469 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1492 |
122 |
1001 |
690 |
50 |
23 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
139 |
19 |
458 |
1373 |
500 |
181 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
359 |
910 |
545 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
62 |
561 |
1278 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1988 |
8252 |
740 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3496 |
5468 |
68 |
341 |
321 |
39 |
9 |
0 |
| OW |
3 |
2065 |
116 |
851 |
344 |
128 |
46 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
330 |
40 |
694 |
1146 |
255 |
169 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
1 |
64 |
473 |
1143 |
313 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
86 |
850 |
997 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1626 |
9419 |
1166 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2292 |
5460 |
74 |
449 |
231 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1555 |
107 |
983 |
623 |
81 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
286 |
48 |
922 |
1390 |
456 |
18 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
372 |
1111 |
162 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
934 |
1277 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1147 |
9559 |
2497 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1828 |
4162 |
69 |
426 |
155 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1096 |
66 |
572 |
379 |
209 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
345 |
68 |
850 |
1734 |
730 |
14 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
78 |
928 |
1107 |
106 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
101 |
1198 |
834 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
2158 |
11205 |
1630 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1828 |
4541 |
82 |
582 |
192 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
743 |
67 |
524 |
469 |
204 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
319 |
54 |
732 |
1665 |
728 |
17 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
88 |
844 |
1009 |
96 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
128 |
1181 |
459 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
2231 |
11587 |
1630 |
|
Date: 2018-11-03:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1953 |
2778 |
53 |
505 |
152 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
650 |
54 |
511 |
480 |
88 |
18 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
182 |
27 |
393 |
1263 |
882 |
168 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
2 |
87 |
692 |
1549 |
353 |
5 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
160 |
1524 |
713 |
130 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
1922 |
10087 |
4648 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1953 |
2933 |
71 |
666 |
240 |
56 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
467 |
39 |
431 |
564 |
128 |
34 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
202 |
23 |
279 |
1103 |
820 |
165 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
23 |
3 |
120 |
696 |
1546 |
395 |
27 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
152 |
1372 |
574 |
88 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
2063 |
10170 |
4668 |
|
Date: 2018-11-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1364 |
2929 |
49 |
200 |
118 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
75 |
21 |
357 |
449 |
184 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
19 |
13 |
367 |
832 |
820 |
32 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
499 |
1986 |
381 |
15 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1540 |
2047 |
134 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
667 |
8945 |
7988 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1354 |
2764 |
42 |
292 |
395 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
10 |
150 |
18 |
310 |
464 |
320 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
96 |
13 |
220 |
496 |
967 |
180 |
3 |
| ODI |
0 |
13 |
10 |
110 |
412 |
1331 |
639 |
100 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
146 |
1269 |
1234 |
161 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1172 |
9346 |
7873 |
|
Date: 2018-11-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
874 |
2768 |
40 |
173 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
187 |
25 |
258 |
118 |
47 |
95 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
104 |
421 |
388 |
241 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
534 |
953 |
278 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
398 |
1948 |
862 |
50 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
1431 |
10613 |
9148 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
854 |
2668 |
42 |
219 |
190 |
76 |
111 |
0 |
| OW |
20 |
198 |
14 |
162 |
241 |
448 |
144 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
79 |
9 |
120 |
427 |
826 |
243 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
0 |
57 |
267 |
1166 |
445 |
8 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
291 |
943 |
1308 |
207 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
126 |
1308 |
9838 |
8983 |
|
Date: 2018-11-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
563 |
2299 |
39 |
137 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
292 |
35 |
205 |
170 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
11 |
233 |
285 |
136 |
81 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
252 |
646 |
365 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
195 |
1115 |
762 |
46 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
103 |
3300 |
12844 |
7840 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
534 |
2109 |
41 |
157 |
127 |
40 |
23 |
0 |
| OW |
24 |
417 |
25 |
185 |
116 |
168 |
116 |
0 |
| VODI |
6 |
116 |
17 |
170 |
273 |
725 |
504 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
2 |
67 |
206 |
809 |
341 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
231 |
1157 |
961 |
68 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
86 |
2324 |
12107 |
7818 |
|
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