Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2018-11-01
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-10-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9582 |
5187 |
75 |
511 |
528 |
176 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
17 |
365 |
23 |
241 |
215 |
297 |
181 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
172 |
24 |
348 |
415 |
561 |
429 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
49 |
8 |
208 |
488 |
677 |
419 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
2 |
41 |
517 |
1077 |
233 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
37 |
191 |
7295 |
13813 |
1444 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9085 |
4706 |
54 |
467 |
552 |
239 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
12 |
433 |
34 |
235 |
386 |
259 |
132 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
184 |
27 |
232 |
358 |
472 |
427 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
56 |
9 |
120 |
483 |
358 |
619 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
49 |
501 |
852 |
659 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
220 |
4457 |
16227 |
2899 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8646 |
5249 |
79 |
462 |
502 |
91 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
80 |
31 |
345 |
489 |
240 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
13 |
0 |
116 |
490 |
507 |
29 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
2 |
10 |
371 |
773 |
350 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
214 |
1259 |
743 |
43 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3508 |
14860 |
6341 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8376 |
5295 |
55 |
355 |
215 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
3 |
258 |
36 |
291 |
393 |
247 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
19 |
237 |
361 |
567 |
55 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
20 |
6 |
65 |
404 |
532 |
321 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
21 |
400 |
1091 |
389 |
40 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
4726 |
14468 |
6437 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8376 |
5398 |
68 |
380 |
284 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
3 |
168 |
27 |
284 |
323 |
194 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
45 |
16 |
224 |
385 |
519 |
67 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
20 |
5 |
68 |
393 |
525 |
281 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
13 |
404 |
1121 |
427 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
4765 |
14456 |
6460 |
|
Date: 2018-11-03:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7651 |
5169 |
78 |
334 |
222 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
389 |
37 |
205 |
327 |
166 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
22 |
9 |
165 |
607 |
650 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
6 |
22 |
361 |
764 |
153 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
4 |
6 |
238 |
1093 |
581 |
15 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
3256 |
13972 |
9126 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7647 |
5461 |
98 |
396 |
265 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
114 |
22 |
196 |
341 |
204 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
4 |
103 |
564 |
540 |
7 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
29 |
343 |
744 |
144 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
16 |
8 |
8 |
236 |
1103 |
557 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
196 |
3312 |
14000 |
9134 |
|
Date: 2018-11-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8015 |
4935 |
59 |
243 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
20 |
210 |
28 |
269 |
130 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
95 |
8 |
193 |
431 |
233 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
2 |
41 |
455 |
815 |
135 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
1 |
1 |
158 |
1271 |
384 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
2976 |
14016 |
10598 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8027 |
4910 |
56 |
317 |
191 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
273 |
25 |
203 |
174 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
57 |
13 |
133 |
294 |
481 |
59 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
60 |
214 |
580 |
98 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
17 |
3 |
34 |
180 |
755 |
429 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
234 |
3446 |
13949 |
10598 |
|
Date: 2018-11-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7340 |
5582 |
59 |
206 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
404 |
35 |
223 |
84 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
16 |
104 |
25 |
267 |
247 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
3 |
96 |
306 |
344 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
2 |
19 |
379 |
1000 |
334 |
15 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
276 |
3875 |
13424 |
11056 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7360 |
5600 |
68 |
291 |
140 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
48 |
339 |
17 |
160 |
159 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
144 |
30 |
146 |
185 |
136 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
6 |
141 |
171 |
433 |
114 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
23 |
4 |
60 |
283 |
657 |
466 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
380 |
3972 |
13179 |
11067 |
|
Date: 2018-11-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
6510 |
5495 |
65 |
319 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
36 |
242 |
25 |
421 |
207 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
6 |
132 |
16 |
237 |
421 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
17 |
3 |
27 |
353 |
296 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
16 |
5 |
28 |
201 |
669 |
83 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
175 |
4478 |
15069 |
10189 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
6517 |
5582 |
82 |
645 |
231 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
31 |
193 |
14 |
277 |
326 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
4 |
82 |
8 |
60 |
315 |
276 |
22 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
24 |
3 |
11 |
172 |
343 |
72 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
5 |
23 |
144 |
599 |
555 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
11 |
3 |
23 |
203 |
4182 |
14504 |
10190 |
|
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