Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2018-10-25
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-10-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93364 |
5966 |
31 |
148 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
158 |
22 |
147 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
28 |
12 |
135 |
127 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
3 |
79 |
133 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
221 |
277 |
40 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
1314 |
4982 |
1671 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93499 |
5734 |
29 |
111 |
98 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
232 |
25 |
186 |
36 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
89 |
15 |
143 |
92 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
6 |
100 |
139 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
276 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
180 |
3016 |
3360 |
1510 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92857 |
6624 |
38 |
166 |
106 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
122 |
13 |
171 |
122 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
55 |
11 |
125 |
135 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
11 |
71 |
117 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
68 |
167 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
399 |
3561 |
2669 |
1300 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92708 |
6466 |
37 |
184 |
17 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
138 |
16 |
172 |
124 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
45 |
10 |
155 |
248 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
5 |
67 |
148 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
163 |
115 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
240 |
2755 |
3485 |
1611 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92707 |
6507 |
40 |
183 |
45 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
105 |
16 |
198 |
199 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
41 |
8 |
137 |
164 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
4 |
63 |
142 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
44 |
145 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
245 |
2743 |
3485 |
1611 |
|
Date: 2018-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
91858 |
6949 |
45 |
158 |
21 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
132 |
21 |
180 |
87 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
39 |
11 |
142 |
236 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
1 |
71 |
221 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
198 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
118 |
3036 |
3694 |
1549 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
91859 |
6971 |
50 |
192 |
32 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
118 |
18 |
160 |
90 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
31 |
8 |
129 |
292 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
2 |
65 |
162 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
168 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
3035 |
3694 |
1549 |
|
Date: 2018-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
91771 |
6937 |
51 |
181 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
124 |
18 |
216 |
94 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
48 |
6 |
110 |
313 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
2 |
39 |
339 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
143 |
201 |
45 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
2836 |
3789 |
1511 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
91770 |
6828 |
45 |
179 |
45 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
176 |
15 |
173 |
91 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
62 |
10 |
110 |
284 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
27 |
3 |
40 |
247 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
17 |
1 |
22 |
155 |
124 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
4 |
3 |
47 |
172 |
2928 |
3834 |
1511 |
|
Date: 2018-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
90991 |
7415 |
58 |
245 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
164 |
27 |
166 |
98 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
41 |
7 |
157 |
186 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
3 |
60 |
229 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
237 |
250 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
183 |
2716 |
3982 |
1659 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
90994 |
7155 |
50 |
242 |
101 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
3 |
328 |
24 |
101 |
99 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
94 |
14 |
160 |
167 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
22 |
3 |
78 |
250 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
24 |
1 |
40 |
127 |
186 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
7 |
3 |
56 |
257 |
2722 |
3983 |
1659 |
|
Date: 2018-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
90084 |
7809 |
54 |
221 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
301 |
25 |
237 |
150 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
72 |
20 |
158 |
181 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
73 |
208 |
46 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
225 |
243 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
229 |
2745 |
4023 |
1846 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
90060 |
7671 |
62 |
323 |
127 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
30 |
365 |
22 |
145 |
131 |
21 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
114 |
9 |
142 |
236 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
35 |
8 |
63 |
218 |
113 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
57 |
120 |
258 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
208 |
2608 |
4023 |
1846 |
|
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