Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2018-10-25
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-10-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
10419 |
6619 |
25 |
126 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
27 |
1352 |
97 |
497 |
156 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
170 |
37 |
616 |
628 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
165 |
754 |
305 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
486 |
2326 |
12 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3701 |
3492 |
3 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8720 |
7075 |
48 |
176 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
38 |
1279 |
97 |
628 |
263 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
17 |
326 |
37 |
595 |
815 |
222 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
663 |
443 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
251 |
1687 |
271 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2785 |
5421 |
82 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5493 |
9341 |
119 |
454 |
98 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
764 |
82 |
805 |
306 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
50 |
8 |
407 |
1066 |
333 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
10 |
498 |
1185 |
107 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
991 |
1660 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1181 |
6702 |
364 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4281 |
7467 |
115 |
648 |
210 |
11 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1266 |
93 |
1015 |
621 |
65 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
84 |
17 |
410 |
1110 |
455 |
154 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
1 |
17 |
336 |
967 |
426 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
80 |
622 |
1304 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1153 |
8585 |
534 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4280 |
7813 |
148 |
838 |
280 |
19 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
942 |
62 |
968 |
702 |
73 |
54 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
64 |
15 |
271 |
978 |
526 |
133 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
327 |
943 |
498 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
632 |
1182 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1080 |
8619 |
534 |
|
Date: 2018-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3064 |
6227 |
79 |
337 |
441 |
77 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1527 |
113 |
990 |
722 |
190 |
18 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
232 |
39 |
462 |
1334 |
558 |
164 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
396 |
1061 |
477 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
72 |
605 |
1282 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
2084 |
8620 |
875 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3064 |
6406 |
98 |
511 |
588 |
110 |
13 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1391 |
97 |
819 |
601 |
186 |
19 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
189 |
38 |
466 |
1311 |
621 |
200 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
418 |
929 |
578 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
48 |
674 |
1275 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
2055 |
8482 |
875 |
|
Date: 2018-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2980 |
5827 |
83 |
375 |
131 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1832 |
117 |
930 |
498 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
379 |
48 |
784 |
1311 |
297 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
18 |
271 |
1279 |
189 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1123 |
1167 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1217 |
9954 |
1228 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2980 |
6126 |
106 |
757 |
448 |
48 |
19 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1322 |
81 |
528 |
344 |
65 |
22 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
587 |
61 |
774 |
1034 |
334 |
139 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
38 |
331 |
1041 |
347 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
50 |
842 |
972 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
1610 |
9823 |
1228 |
|
Date: 2018-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1872 |
4921 |
65 |
287 |
149 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1376 |
95 |
625 |
537 |
183 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
340 |
62 |
1069 |
1605 |
554 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
750 |
1143 |
154 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
1017 |
1066 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1505 |
10289 |
2255 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1872 |
5468 |
99 |
491 |
560 |
408 |
9 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
924 |
69 |
596 |
834 |
213 |
21 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
245 |
54 |
866 |
1230 |
692 |
84 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
389 |
936 |
528 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
64 |
683 |
912 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1524 |
9967 |
2255 |
|
Date: 2018-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2020 |
3272 |
72 |
439 |
123 |
34 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
818 |
67 |
573 |
480 |
128 |
37 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
236 |
50 |
634 |
1272 |
951 |
25 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
1 |
105 |
677 |
1744 |
158 |
23 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
1372 |
659 |
41 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
2191 |
10761 |
2940 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2020 |
3341 |
89 |
641 |
514 |
405 |
46 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
775 |
62 |
537 |
576 |
662 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
215 |
37 |
520 |
1042 |
1304 |
92 |
1 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
2 |
50 |
492 |
1347 |
496 |
34 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
85 |
697 |
1163 |
69 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
2005 |
9815 |
2900 |
|
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