Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-10-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121097 19748 206 814 227 0 0 0
OW 21 1269 129 1208 769 27 0 0
VODI 0 133 44 878 1937 344 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 140 1995 1161 159 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 761 1705 480 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 9026 19036 3607
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117895 20620 251 1292 516 47 0 0
OW 25 1209 141 1359 950 139 2 0
VODI 0 111 41 642 2052 878 35 0
ODI 0 4 2 153 994 2273 184 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 545 1742 458 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 366 9800 18932 3334
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118026 18334 146 1184 1222 85 0 0
OW 82 1158 116 767 485 107 6 0
VODI 0 441 102 1135 980 161 16 0
ODI 0 9 10 518 1802 372 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 1226 4328 217 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 172 9460 20934 3355
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115349 19216 170 1474 1201 123 2 0
OW 189 1656 129 844 521 128 22 0
VODI 5 441 97 1103 1157 223 27 0
ODI 0 22 13 486 1542 497 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 1108 3612 206 12
VCDI 0 0 0 1 161 10256 20561 4377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115480 19535 192 1540 1282 140 12 0
OW 63 1231 98 708 449 101 17 0
VODI 0 493 93 1032 1052 218 20 0
ODI 0 73 23 564 1309 489 50 0
CDI 0 3 3 132 1350 3031 184 12
VCDI 0 0 0 1 248 10860 20583 4377

Date: 2018-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114084 18249 153 928 1233 325 0 0
OW 75 2213 173 1100 879 199 36 0
VODI 10 433 73 1205 1498 363 47 0
ODI 0 8 4 293 1464 762 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1034 3126 358 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 171 8339 22603 5542
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114116 19083 195 1079 1313 303 0 0
OW 39 1392 118 876 815 217 37 0
VODI 12 384 78 1066 1359 318 41 0
ODI 2 44 12 438 1245 746 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 1284 2661 342 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 263 8869 22622 5545

Date: 2018-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109728 21724 211 994 557 89 0 0
OW 31 1104 149 1185 884 364 0 0
VODI 0 134 36 1124 2590 914 40 0
ODI 0 6 5 97 1383 1982 224 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 462 2833 2030 19
VCDI 0 0 0 1 386 8938 20916 5872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109752 21219 201 1073 911 605 0 0
OW 7 1163 106 967 957 503 39 0
VODI 0 495 72 866 1739 810 191 0
ODI 0 82 13 297 1113 1061 242 0
CDI 0 9 9 185 771 1879 885 9
VCDI 0 0 0 49 771 10262 21853 5882

Date: 2018-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107488 20500 252 1376 795 66 0 0
OW 8 1488 148 1472 915 290 17 0
VODI 0 275 40 1092 1780 1382 178 0
ODI 0 33 7 309 1099 1949 458 0
CDI 0 4 4 118 505 1638 2216 15
VCDI 0 0 1 60 525 8193 25593 4759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107489 20365 240 1639 1010 534 47 0
OW 7 1160 105 982 881 687 63 0
VODI 0 579 69 1019 1492 1160 385 0
ODI 0 129 25 372 892 1247 578 0
CDI 0 44 6 248 612 1345 1261 16
VCDI 0 23 7 167 732 8545 26128 4758

Date: 2018-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105426 18580 201 1121 1006 234 5 0
OW 17 2025 160 1408 1056 375 204 0
VODI 3 360 57 948 2006 1144 610 0
ODI 0 58 13 302 1002 1628 964 0
CDI 0 9 3 100 729 1760 1511 2
VCDI 0 0 1 45 416 12347 25620 3592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105433 18709 259 1616 1468 705 390 0
OW 12 1457 78 996 1108 441 370 0
VODI 1 562 57 696 1196 1227 489 0
ODI 0 210 22 369 1091 1128 1074 0
CDI 0 75 12 116 770 1702 1020 4
VCDI 0 19 7 131 582 12285 25571 3590


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 02:17:20 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy