Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2018-10-11
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-10-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16983 |
6808 |
50 |
194 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
381 |
61 |
406 |
170 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
71 |
27 |
437 |
516 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
0 |
135 |
322 |
257 |
11 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
240 |
493 |
505 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
2838 |
14291 |
480 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16653 |
6841 |
73 |
261 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
358 |
59 |
475 |
119 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
100 |
21 |
388 |
663 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
7 |
181 |
340 |
209 |
8 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
0 |
53 |
308 |
497 |
380 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
403 |
2949 |
11390 |
3003 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16211 |
7099 |
74 |
281 |
49 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
268 |
54 |
330 |
47 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
36 |
14 |
634 |
392 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
243 |
778 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
536 |
513 |
14 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
214 |
5589 |
9563 |
2835 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15177 |
7258 |
93 |
432 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
15 |
289 |
50 |
531 |
199 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
7 |
264 |
650 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
975 |
224 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
517 |
406 |
143 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
6211 |
11275 |
770 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15192 |
7345 |
94 |
490 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
196 |
47 |
392 |
121 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
21 |
9 |
348 |
571 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
945 |
146 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
667 |
428 |
45 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
6277 |
11373 |
770 |
|
Date: 2018-10-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14144 |
7469 |
97 |
556 |
180 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
21 |
388 |
46 |
520 |
318 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
17 |
13 |
160 |
533 |
151 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
44 |
589 |
623 |
65 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
281 |
695 |
133 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
4089 |
12250 |
2334 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14165 |
7363 |
101 |
583 |
207 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
445 |
39 |
430 |
218 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
66 |
16 |
214 |
516 |
129 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
52 |
616 |
452 |
56 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
330 |
822 |
102 |
19 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
4156 |
12291 |
2332 |
|
Date: 2018-10-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
11563 |
7257 |
178 |
1467 |
405 |
88 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
300 |
45 |
402 |
197 |
75 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
141 |
29 |
420 |
547 |
128 |
16 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
2 |
41 |
674 |
163 |
34 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
251 |
1725 |
125 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
3052 |
13230 |
3221 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
11562 |
7087 |
197 |
1677 |
676 |
219 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
537 |
43 |
462 |
378 |
115 |
23 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
73 |
11 |
161 |
585 |
191 |
76 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
3 |
29 |
237 |
585 |
76 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
173 |
1002 |
245 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
87 |
3119 |
12983 |
3211 |
|
Date: 2018-10-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
11190 |
6772 |
120 |
1196 |
1004 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
408 |
43 |
275 |
384 |
91 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
185 |
37 |
396 |
544 |
152 |
17 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
234 |
525 |
263 |
23 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
319 |
1076 |
65 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
154 |
4210 |
13026 |
2993 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
11133 |
6554 |
122 |
1166 |
1314 |
179 |
12 |
0 |
| OW |
50 |
587 |
54 |
503 |
451 |
183 |
18 |
0 |
| VODI |
8 |
224 |
23 |
359 |
565 |
206 |
54 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
68 |
283 |
472 |
55 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
168 |
889 |
129 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
149 |
3937 |
12875 |
3002 |
|
Date: 2018-10-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
10799 |
6394 |
97 |
802 |
1289 |
176 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
31 |
491 |
43 |
400 |
425 |
167 |
42 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
131 |
29 |
441 |
573 |
230 |
34 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
136 |
575 |
381 |
28 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
264 |
906 |
211 |
12 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
4390 |
13661 |
2589 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
10722 |
6044 |
108 |
888 |
1425 |
293 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
70 |
625 |
34 |
413 |
590 |
235 |
63 |
0 |
| VODI |
38 |
347 |
27 |
448 |
656 |
348 |
120 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
314 |
510 |
84 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
150 |
802 |
234 |
12 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
96 |
4062 |
13475 |
2589 |
|
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