Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13841 6093 29 98 9 0 0 0
OW 0 1283 36 228 188 6 0 0
VODI 0 348 58 837 646 201 0 0
ODI 0 41 13 149 503 311 10 0
CDI 0 1 1 45 515 1405 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3234 1796 6
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13438 6395 29 78 8 0 0 0
OW 0 1342 51 408 109 6 0 0
VODI 0 414 50 693 923 165 0 0
ODI 0 75 11 92 376 465 49 0
CDI 0 6 8 44 210 1279 650 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 3143 1563 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13929 7121 32 95 17 0 0 0
OW 0 707 74 408 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 36 988 547 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 747 104 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 203 1352 374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2409 2771 3
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13375 7341 34 120 3 0 0 0
OW 0 894 63 439 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 182 55 1000 545 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 131 657 67 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 367 1247 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3454 1818 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13375 7188 41 199 9 0 0 0
OW 0 1075 60 389 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 54 1000 556 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 100 673 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 319 1349 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3375 1808 0

Date: 2018-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13522 7003 40 101 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1158 57 400 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 322 68 1065 445 11 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 176 608 114 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 457 1135 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3931 1174 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13522 6888 48 215 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1258 48 326 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 337 71 1081 426 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 123 671 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 399 1321 260 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3793 1158 0

Date: 2018-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13248 7645 42 125 2 0 0 0
OW 0 668 79 405 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 30 1199 432 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 1705 79 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 206 1576 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3978 480 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13248 6929 51 340 18 0 0 0
OW 0 957 27 475 94 0 0 0
VODI 0 475 61 749 884 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 12 159 624 159 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 710 805 222 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 4669 326 0

Date: 2018-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13512 6980 35 108 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1093 62 447 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 66 1042 614 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 156 1374 314 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 310 1250 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 4189 240 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13501 6607 58 396 18 0 0 0
OW 11 836 33 557 218 0 0 0
VODI 0 627 40 502 803 11 0 0
ODI 0 152 14 130 567 111 0 0
CDI 0 32 18 158 551 522 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 242 5113 244 0

Date: 2018-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12311 7386 42 182 19 0 0 0
OW 0 941 79 528 389 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 30 644 1175 173 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 1243 549 152 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 181 896 335 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 3409 1273 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12290 7223 69 448 265 0 0 0
OW 21 645 33 291 792 0 0 0
VODI 0 413 28 394 1107 123 0 0
ODI 0 118 11 134 362 393 34 0
CDI 0 42 10 112 277 482 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 206 4029 1604 0


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