Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-09-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12402 7282 35 165 20 0 0 0
OW 0 488 85 538 83 19 0 0
VODI 0 99 25 1287 486 46 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 217 1332 426 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1042 4081 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1525 292 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12993 6796 19 60 4 0 0 0
OW 0 787 70 454 46 5 0 0
VODI 0 221 49 1337 394 36 0 0
ODI 0 29 9 277 1114 303 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 437 4185 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1933 232 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13197 7276 46 141 16 0 0 0
OW 0 464 73 478 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 30 1322 307 12 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 104 1076 165 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 542 4893 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 927 827 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13080 7210 38 128 13 0 0 0
OW 0 660 87 487 77 2 0 0
VODI 0 122 44 1187 340 35 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 153 868 135 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 631 4628 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1128 994 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13080 7364 54 252 7 0 0 0
OW 0 504 79 473 107 4 0 0
VODI 0 123 37 1048 358 42 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 182 810 153 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 647 4346 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1383 994 0

Date: 2018-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12906 7215 40 98 4 0 0 0
OW 0 753 72 560 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 42 1087 456 13 0 0
ODI 0 11 5 88 690 245 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 227 4444 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1092 1711 65
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12906 7445 47 236 9 0 0 0
OW 0 548 72 491 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 35 992 458 18 0 0
ODI 0 8 5 110 655 272 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 232 4043 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1461 1711 65

Date: 2018-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13173 6905 23 42 4 0 0 0
OW 0 725 75 275 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 40 1428 310 4 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 59 978 59 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 141 3255 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2015 2150 123
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13173 6992 47 250 65 0 0 0
OW 0 549 54 391 134 22 0 0
VODI 0 223 38 1028 383 85 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 129 607 253 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 264 2301 374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 2672 1902 123

Date: 2018-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13000 7190 30 48 4 0 0 0
OW 0 916 64 331 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 56 1206 507 5 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 105 799 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 562 1660 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3217 2046 37
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13000 7374 65 294 60 0 0 0
OW 0 626 38 399 124 11 0 0
VODI 0 214 41 845 579 51 0 0
ODI 0 43 7 107 624 263 0 0
CDI 0 14 5 43 421 1563 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 84 3059 2078 37

Date: 2018-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13841 6093 29 98 9 0 0 0
OW 0 1283 36 228 188 6 0 0
VODI 0 348 58 837 646 201 0 0
ODI 0 41 13 149 503 311 10 0
CDI 0 1 1 45 515 1405 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3234 1796 6
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13839 5936 49 228 133 7 0 0
OW 2 1059 23 150 173 14 0 0
VODI 0 491 32 654 483 302 0 0
ODI 0 153 8 166 332 275 57 0
CDI 0 119 21 113 540 475 99 0
VCDI 0 8 4 46 200 4084 1801 6


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