Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-09-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11151 7862 26 91 7 0 0 0
OW 0 732 82 447 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 32 1211 315 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 587 2680 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2012 3843 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 734 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12034 6870 24 73 8 0 0 0
OW 0 854 75 490 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 154 36 1166 402 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 633 2309 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2203 3457 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1101 50 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12455 7262 42 132 7 0 0 0
OW 0 344 89 514 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 13 1488 378 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 168 2571 106 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 770 4752 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 307 536 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12512 7139 34 167 6 0 0 0
OW 0 479 98 471 69 3 0 0
VODI 0 65 20 1467 364 15 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 222 1615 391 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1303 4036 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1393 181 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12512 7209 52 198 9 0 0 0
OW 0 399 72 469 54 2 0 0
VODI 0 64 25 1367 377 13 0 0
ODI 0 14 6 290 1562 504 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1355 3560 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1759 180 0

Date: 2018-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12655 7156 23 81 8 0 0 0
OW 0 629 79 514 58 13 0 0
VODI 0 129 37 1339 478 33 4 0
ODI 0 22 8 226 1234 354 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 817 3991 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1877 119 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12655 7253 33 163 5 0 0 0
OW 0 502 63 441 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 40 1280 431 35 1 0
ODI 0 38 11 271 1211 497 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 835 3510 168 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 2226 127 0

Date: 2018-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13092 7347 35 82 4 0 0 0
OW 0 521 86 427 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 39 1453 300 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 79 1269 115 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 376 5228 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 646 844 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13092 6786 31 125 5 0 0 0
OW 0 766 51 282 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 328 64 1284 303 13 0 0
ODI 0 62 14 328 888 255 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 23 678 3725 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 1998 844 0

Date: 2018-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13153 7272 40 141 14 0 0 0
OW 0 533 78 495 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 40 1272 291 31 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 105 1012 132 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 749 4532 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1020 898 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13153 6568 32 102 10 0 0 0
OW 0 780 54 346 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 478 53 1142 308 26 0 0
ODI 0 85 20 387 719 123 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 39 1065 2785 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2781 965 0

Date: 2018-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13173 7032 33 114 8 0 0 0
OW 0 740 74 479 105 0 0 0
VODI 0 123 42 1130 417 12 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 104 813 167 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 327 4652 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1168 1269 6
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13173 6299 20 61 23 0 0 0
OW 0 953 56 371 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 514 51 954 431 20 0 0
ODI 0 134 25 383 522 195 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 61 634 2604 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 3180 1284 6


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