Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-09-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11546 6942 43 57 0 0 0 0
OW 0 695 83 471 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 41 1482 551 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 209 2702 337 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1450 3385 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 1665 197 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12205 6332 33 97 1 0 0 0
OW 0 681 89 580 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 29 1182 936 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 2381 556 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1630 2822 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 2213 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12245 6576 39 76 5 0 0 0
OW 0 540 97 406 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 25 1314 287 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 253 3757 252 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1571 3847 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 731 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11578 7427 29 70 0 0 0 0
OW 0 713 76 396 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 157 41 1233 249 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 592 2833 137 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2067 3787 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 589 72 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11578 7648 30 91 0 0 0 0
OW 0 477 80 386 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 168 34 1178 280 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 636 2426 120 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2444 3871 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 522 43 0

Date: 2018-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11892 7084 21 80 11 0 0 0
OW 0 803 72 471 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 37 1177 393 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 507 2591 96 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 2460 3317 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 915 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11892 7221 32 96 12 0 0 0
OW 0 604 61 443 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 182 37 1095 392 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 600 2264 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 2798 3682 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 581 0 0

Date: 2018-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12431 7165 36 102 4 0 0 0
OW 0 375 86 539 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 18 1624 300 5 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 82 3255 116 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 578 4507 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 278 437 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12431 6450 26 78 4 0 0 0
OW 0 791 55 359 31 3 0 0
VODI 0 348 58 1101 388 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 798 1758 88 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 1999 4408 182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 393 304 0

Date: 2018-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12638 7077 27 84 6 0 0 0
OW 0 534 85 390 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 22 1377 463 12 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 253 2208 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1052 4329 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 817 532 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12638 6069 29 63 2 0 0 0
OW 0 924 28 242 43 2 0 0
VODI 0 676 66 914 322 11 0 0
ODI 0 5 12 797 1254 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 88 2166 4638 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 501 530 0

Date: 2018-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12402 7282 35 165 20 0 0 0
OW 0 488 85 538 83 19 0 0
VODI 0 99 25 1287 486 46 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 217 1332 426 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1042 4081 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1525 292 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12402 6110 17 69 9 0 0 0
OW 0 915 33 214 45 3 0 0
VODI 0 817 87 853 241 41 0 0
ODI 0 35 14 963 999 95 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 115 1630 3625 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 2333 292 0


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