Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97689 4042 26 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 222 35 128 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 12 299 200 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 528 128 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 297 984 2125 80
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 244 1474 492
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97939 3744 22 19 3 0 0 0
OW 0 208 30 170 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 16 254 239 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 498 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 199 1834 1616 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 755 1287 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98166 3530 8 11 1 0 0 0
OW 0 186 37 128 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 19 313 103 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 482 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 266 3505 386 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1287 514 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97551 4173 17 25 2 0 0 0
OW 0 139 33 179 12 3 0 0
VODI 0 16 15 255 195 16 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 467 107 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 234 2995 900 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1382 323 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97551 4164 22 38 2 0 0 0
OW 0 151 26 173 13 3 0 0
VODI 0 13 17 252 202 12 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 458 141 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 235 2958 882 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1389 342 0

Date: 2018-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97844 3804 15 21 1 0 0 0
OW 0 188 33 126 14 6 0 0
VODI 0 23 19 303 161 19 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 459 109 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 127 2891 1046 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1516 299 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97844 3826 17 35 1 0 0 0
OW 0 160 36 133 18 3 0 0
VODI 0 29 14 275 190 18 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 424 135 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 129 2914 1028 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1471 316 0

Date: 2018-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98223 3566 10 9 1 0 0 0
OW 0 160 38 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 17 293 69 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 410 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 96 2129 374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1206 2323 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98223 3509 17 29 1 0 0 0
OW 0 170 27 129 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 19 202 176 36 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 63 324 183 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 58 1931 1946 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1228 712 0

Date: 2018-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98180 3490 16 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 151 31 104 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 16 228 72 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 345 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 174 1891 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2447 1692 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98180 3356 19 44 1 0 0 0
OW 0 209 21 111 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 21 169 174 23 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 86 303 153 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 82 2086 1223 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2108 575 0

Date: 2018-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97846 3628 24 43 1 0 0 0
OW 0 146 22 126 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 11 189 120 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 314 57 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 155 1634 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2818 1715 44
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97846 3538 25 113 14 0 0 0
OW 0 172 12 100 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 18 122 229 34 2 0
ODI 0 4 2 50 228 231 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 42 1466 956 44
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2779 875 0


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