Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11765 5739 15 36 0 0 0 0
OW 12 909 63 228 25 0 0 0
VODI 2 149 55 1812 495 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 180 3033 374 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 244 3209 590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 397 2529 221
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11613 6010 28 52 0 0 0 0
OW 13 951 61 346 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 123 57 1583 777 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 170 2907 299 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 547 3555 539 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1132 1289 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12033 6331 33 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 575 93 383 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 21 1853 345 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 158 3444 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 786 3878 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1443 398 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12509 5931 30 72 1 0 0 0
OW 0 608 93 449 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 23 1654 437 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 252 2848 322 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1397 3415 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1810 55 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12509 6058 42 115 0 0 0 0
OW 0 485 71 444 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 33 1451 368 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 417 2852 302 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1470 3323 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 1920 55 0

Date: 2018-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11866 6703 33 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 712 83 519 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 45 1312 745 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 241 2388 491 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1267 2647 762 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1392 640 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11866 6873 40 117 0 0 0 0
OW 0 535 79 512 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 42 1128 605 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 380 2550 463 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1251 2336 847 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1727 555 0

Date: 2018-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12183 6512 27 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 519 99 390 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 27 1363 300 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 4099 268 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1166 4230 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 681 48 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12183 6520 45 152 3 0 0 0
OW 0 463 78 479 166 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 30 1055 772 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 174 2483 668 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1793 2290 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 371 2201 48 0

Date: 2018-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12147 6802 24 60 4 0 0 0
OW 0 620 88 393 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 28 1302 233 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 408 3265 191 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1922 3727 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 756 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12147 6673 39 143 0 0 0 0
OW 0 606 58 416 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 224 41 1213 492 32 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 389 2450 233 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1990 2044 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 430 2365 0 0

Date: 2018-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11151 7862 26 91 7 0 0 0
OW 0 732 82 447 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 32 1211 315 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 587 2680 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2012 3843 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 734 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11151 7729 45 169 11 0 0 0
OW 0 673 41 316 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 333 54 1168 456 18 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 669 1816 100 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 2148 1875 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 538 2689 0 0


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