Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10083 6263 47 112 0 0 0 0
OW 0 546 54 367 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 184 42 1050 378 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 409 1957 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 83 2487 3397 299 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1296 2995 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9664 6705 42 84 0 0 0 0
OW 0 660 61 386 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 173 38 1117 401 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 547 1738 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 120 1787 3642 1016 49
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 740 2029 915
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11011 6063 15 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 710 88 218 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 50 1613 467 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 3265 413 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 313 3214 411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1868 2099 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11574 5908 14 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 907 54 191 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 72 1783 430 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 208 3127 306 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 337 3057 418 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1262 2251 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11574 6057 20 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 790 54 259 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 65 1682 442 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 235 3053 228 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 402 3076 419 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1321 2250 0

Date: 2018-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11487 6066 18 43 0 0 0 0
OW 15 915 69 275 40 0 0 0
VODI 2 130 62 1821 519 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 189 2849 426 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 259 3481 735 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 613 2013 55
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11479 6231 33 70 0 0 0 0
OW 17 747 61 365 29 0 0 0
VODI 8 133 55 1670 569 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 223 2699 331 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 370 3457 586 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 732 2162 55

Date: 2018-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12114 6098 23 28 0 0 0 0
OW 2 655 85 298 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 32 1684 434 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 3767 160 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 317 4039 269 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 822 1131 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12097 5885 33 114 0 0 0 0
OW 19 774 58 460 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 49 1332 901 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 2659 245 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 932 3160 428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1616 972 0

Date: 2018-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12005 6387 32 86 2 0 0 0
OW 0 538 87 471 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 31 1751 370 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 204 3066 296 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1369 3434 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1700 112 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11987 6106 43 107 0 0 0 0
OW 18 771 69 637 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 38 1452 655 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 316 2351 287 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1793 2790 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 2355 112 0

Date: 2018-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11546 6942 43 57 0 0 0 0
OW 0 695 83 471 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 41 1482 551 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 209 2702 337 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1450 3385 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 1665 197 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11531 6640 37 52 0 0 0 0
OW 15 846 86 583 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 288 44 1295 650 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 289 2255 336 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1688 2685 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 138 2375 197 0


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