Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8998 5321 27 46 0 0 0 0
OW 1 752 57 384 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 356 52 1232 867 21 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 153 2375 1053 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 190 3589 867 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1208 3996 496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9490 5174 19 62 0 0 0 0
OW 19 926 71 400 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 368 59 1088 900 20 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 175 1911 1320 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 239 2970 1786 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 442 3991 596
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10718 5409 17 35 0 0 0 0
OW 1 548 85 303 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 53 1076 301 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 242 2369 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1643 3911 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1587 2938 433
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9819 6563 40 96 0 0 0 0
OW 0 554 54 345 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 233 41 1099 246 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 616 1750 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 3145 2719 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1813 2701 122
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9819 6714 46 129 0 0 0 0
OW 0 425 53 362 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 206 35 1079 250 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 563 1758 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 3137 2536 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1986 2698 122

Date: 2018-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9508 6807 45 121 0 0 0 0
OW 0 609 62 371 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 198 38 1145 301 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 627 1650 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 106 1977 3656 746 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1705 2273 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9508 7028 57 158 0 0 0 0
OW 0 423 56 399 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 29 1105 300 1 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 585 1679 103 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 123 1952 3384 616 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1976 2403 0

Date: 2018-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10245 6543 23 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 639 77 284 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 35 1708 355 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 3584 193 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 248 3095 657 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 391 3166 637
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10245 6589 36 113 2 0 0 0
OW 0 502 65 369 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 30 1075 425 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 444 1858 100 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 116 1874 2922 1317 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 657 2506 637

Date: 2018-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11230 6103 10 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 846 67 174 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 180 67 1777 351 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 178 3276 279 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 320 3237 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2890 876 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11230 6148 20 53 0 0 0 0
OW 0 682 58 240 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 277 60 1071 331 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 6 648 1644 125 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 135 1967 3916 491 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2365 588 0

Date: 2018-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11765 5739 15 36 0 0 0 0
OW 12 909 63 228 25 0 0 0
VODI 2 149 55 1812 495 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 180 3033 374 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 244 3209 590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 397 2529 221
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11733 5964 33 119 0 0 0 0
OW 46 541 48 374 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 286 50 904 442 24 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 658 1546 252 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 201 1755 3109 1525 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 595 1594 221


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