Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94040 6782 56 159 2 6 0 0
OW 0 180 37 543 72 4 0 0
VODI 0 18 6 250 350 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 593 173 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 320 2288 1120 327
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 832 719 213
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95631 5506 39 125 3 3 0 0
OW 0 218 41 435 66 2 0 0
VODI 0 28 3 306 303 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 553 323 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 392 2126 1757 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 845 356 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95996 5300 48 123 0 3 0 0
OW 0 150 31 292 38 8 0 0
VODI 0 20 6 370 207 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 690 112 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 414 1879 513 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 363 1562 928
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96268 5099 53 100 2 5 0 0
OW 0 151 28 318 55 2 0 0
VODI 0 49 5 286 294 2 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 52 527 231 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 285 2446 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 696 1742 207
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96268 5125 54 160 6 5 0 0
OW 0 121 27 269 60 2 0 0
VODI 0 51 4 273 304 4 0 0
ODI 0 17 3 64 501 264 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 292 2455 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 652 1633 207

Date: 2018-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97479 3883 43 133 3 5 0 0
OW 0 159 28 326 80 2 0 0
VODI 0 45 9 226 363 11 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 42 468 309 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 196 1935 981 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 341 2009 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97479 3911 45 182 12 4 0 0
OW 0 128 26 279 81 3 0 0
VODI 0 51 8 223 388 12 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 51 409 337 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 220 1973 1130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 274 1857 0

Date: 2018-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97734 3733 28 38 0 3 0 0
OW 0 164 46 258 28 3 0 0
VODI 0 27 8 415 144 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 732 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 356 1594 543 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 179 2364 607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97734 3689 48 157 15 4 0 0
OW 0 147 25 281 81 2 0 0
VODI 0 74 5 246 388 4 0 0
ODI 0 14 4 79 385 392 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 391 1248 1546 86
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 173 1331 521

Date: 2018-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97571 3912 40 66 7 1 0 0
OW 0 166 34 297 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 11 337 192 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 574 78 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 196 1787 738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 139 1858 963
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97571 3878 40 156 18 1 0 0
OW 0 160 34 286 101 2 0 0
VODI 0 53 7 257 349 29 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 65 337 579 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 206 1270 1551 113
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 129 1030 850

Date: 2018-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97391 4148 32 62 9 1 0 0
OW 0 228 24 284 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 20 319 237 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 56 555 92 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 289 2466 309 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 378 1897 209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97391 4132 35 174 17 1 0 0
OW 0 228 25 220 113 4 0 0
VODI 0 65 13 258 315 35 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 65 379 493 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 298 2228 869 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 181 1318 209


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