Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6814 5697 30 100 0 0 0 0
OW 1 627 75 340 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 316 55 1246 937 11 0 0
ODI 0 28 8 356 2815 2279 322 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 182 2199 3544 378
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 81 2181 1453
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7770 5008 17 67 0 0 0 0
OW 5 775 52 281 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 501 71 1305 929 19 0 0
ODI 0 40 18 460 3017 1878 465 0
CDI 0 3 0 0 384 2356 3552 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 75 2689 308
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8534 5292 22 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 556 66 288 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 244 65 1522 489 11 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 141 3372 295 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 558 3463 269 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 362 4991 1501
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8865 5277 20 58 0 0 0 0
OW 0 680 61 356 6 1 0 0
VODI 1 311 70 1278 818 19 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 154 2470 1081 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 242 3618 590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1167 3989 948
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8865 5347 42 107 0 0 0 0
OW 1 608 41 351 8 3 0 0
VODI 0 310 68 1217 1013 29 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 171 2197 1144 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 318 3617 643 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1093 3936 948

Date: 2018-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9372 5116 18 56 0 0 0 0
OW 31 834 53 370 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 388 68 1178 858 20 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 154 2164 1206 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 199 3370 1231 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 437 4456 484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9382 5229 28 95 0 0 0 0
OW 21 727 45 396 14 1 0 0
VODI 0 381 66 1094 1010 36 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 172 1900 1287 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 308 3290 1171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 419 4512 484

Date: 2018-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9757 5949 31 61 0 0 0 0
OW 3 500 93 349 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 48 1083 358 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 2545 219 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 182 5278 326 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 826 3647 687
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9755 5334 32 99 0 0 0 0
OW 5 790 73 456 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 366 61 812 1088 66 0 0
ODI 0 38 6 172 1552 1505 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 422 3774 815 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 983 3095 687

Date: 2018-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9857 6478 25 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 584 61 294 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 276 51 1087 189 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 796 1671 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 85 2708 2932 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1720 2853 246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9857 5767 23 119 0 0 0 0
OW 0 997 45 407 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 491 51 1239 537 0 0 0
ODI 0 84 20 554 2263 252 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 18 1748 2937 422 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1464 2503 246

Date: 2018-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10083 6263 47 112 0 0 0 0
OW 0 546 54 367 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 184 42 1050 378 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 409 1957 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 83 2487 3397 299 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1296 2995 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10083 5786 40 229 17 0 0 0
OW 0 753 53 551 169 0 0 0
VODI 0 377 36 870 924 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 14 349 2327 311 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 22 1406 3019 991 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1370 2303 0


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