Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11516 5827 101 789 164 0 0 0
OW 0 1890 104 1104 210 13 0 0
VODI 0 475 46 1173 1636 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 5 132 2646 852 0 0
CDI 0 19 4 4 1624 3322 472 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 106 2623 7856 1132
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11889 6089 113 735 177 0 0 0
OW 0 1910 92 1054 256 0 0 0
VODI 0 278 46 1048 1918 13 0 0
ODI 0 19 3 123 2253 831 13 0
CDI 0 10 3 4 1256 3048 1087 0
VCDI 0 1 0 9 293 1817 7939 1539
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12177 6753 107 583 99 0 0 0
OW 0 1486 85 797 114 0 0 0
VODI 0 205 45 1605 603 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 0 146 3237 366 0 0
CDI 0 7 0 3 1014 4453 371 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 158 1976 7021 2432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12273 7117 92 541 82 7 0 0
OW 0 1510 91 658 138 5 0 0
VODI 0 304 57 1528 723 1 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 200 2912 279 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 13 1319 4028 465 0
VCDI 0 0 1 18 235 3169 6575 1506
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12273 7493 118 702 113 11 0 0
OW 0 1104 62 486 98 1 0 0
VODI 0 334 61 1557 807 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 1 178 2660 262 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 17 1491 3999 503 0
VCDI 0 0 1 18 240 3216 6537 1506

Date: 2018-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12861 6858 99 533 50 0 0 0
OW 0 1507 68 590 105 1 0 0
VODI 0 282 70 1264 1077 17 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 218 2520 411 9 0
CDI 0 2 0 12 1298 4153 676 0
VCDI 0 1 2 20 244 3518 6994 392
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12861 7372 108 673 70 0 0 0
OW 0 934 60 450 130 0 0 0
VODI 0 341 70 1300 1098 32 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 175 2226 394 9 0
CDI 0 2 0 20 1523 4191 588 0
VCDI 0 1 2 19 247 3483 7082 392

Date: 2018-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12502 8047 83 371 45 0 0 0
OW 0 1158 82 411 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 178 61 1499 421 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 131 3107 269 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 935 4754 979 0
VCDI 0 2 2 14 60 1857 5575 3252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12502 8022 96 510 86 0 0 0
OW 0 925 61 433 129 7 0 0
VODI 0 431 66 1276 1009 68 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 188 2022 571 1 0
CDI 0 2 0 8 1267 3983 1056 0
VCDI 0 2 2 14 117 2255 5497 3252

Date: 2018-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12682 8311 66 336 56 0 0 0
OW 0 1152 71 303 94 0 0 0
VODI 0 175 69 1257 709 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 149 2818 232 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 8 1769 5140 379 0
VCDI 0 10 1 26 267 3643 5576 555
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12682 7992 81 419 104 0 0 0
OW 0 1040 47 256 159 0 0 0
VODI 0 602 74 1101 1171 25 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 246 2077 373 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 30 1854 4813 719 0
VCDI 0 13 2 27 348 3809 5236 555

Date: 2018-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13047 8301 59 321 31 0 0 0
OW 0 1167 70 285 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 287 76 1558 380 9 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 427 2498 115 2 0
CDI 0 14 1 45 2342 4338 887 0
VCDI 0 10 1 32 380 3790 4896 442
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13047 7872 68 362 77 0 0 0
OW 0 1197 44 292 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 676 86 1510 806 22 0 0
ODI 0 10 7 400 1864 187 0 0
CDI 0 11 0 69 2444 4259 1075 0
VCDI 0 17 2 35 355 3784 4710 442


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