Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-08-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6396 5034 46 318 35 0 0 0
OW 55 340 87 877 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 26 16 929 2058 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 3169 3648 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 12 3575 3669 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 1215 354
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6173 5517 57 506 23 0 0 0
OW 1 315 71 990 156 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 9 740 2514 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 3471 3573 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 17 2874 3801 71
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 626 514
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6097 5801 55 399 33 0 0 0
OW 1 413 68 531 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 17 1114 709 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 75 4536 988 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 405 5492 1074 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 354 3450 393
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6050 6299 48 142 7 0 0 0
OW 1 556 80 380 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 42 1413 770 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 4 457 3668 1460 107 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 848 2162 3218 296
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 2825 1010
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6050 6427 68 221 8 0 0 0
OW 1 429 56 411 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 169 45 1267 946 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 5 493 3685 1324 162 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 649 2280 3100 259
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 63 2888 1047

Date: 2018-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7354 5319 22 67 0 0 0 0
OW 5 703 57 306 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 414 71 1267 925 10 0 0
ODI 0 31 13 337 3076 2031 349 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 163 2828 2948 349
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 76 2362 984
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7358 5462 30 132 5 0 0 0
OW 1 595 57 317 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 387 63 1142 998 36 0 0
ODI 0 23 13 386 3013 2007 283 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 129 2802 2847 320
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 100 2529 1013

Date: 2018-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8045 5463 21 58 0 0 0 0
OW 0 635 83 175 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 210 56 1623 323 13 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 116 3458 320 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 185 3656 565 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 331 5141 1594
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8044 4993 30 155 1 0 0 0
OW 1 713 39 242 43 2 0 0
VODI 0 558 73 1095 1172 45 0 0
ODI 0 50 18 480 2655 2143 330 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 99 2062 3443 533
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 68 1933 1061

Date: 2018-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8750 5232 19 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 606 58 325 7 1 0 0
VODI 0 281 64 1410 659 18 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 141 2948 731 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 202 3621 467 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 570 4788 1135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8749 4662 28 174 8 0 0 0
OW 1 662 34 307 57 6 0 0
VODI 0 715 59 967 1525 113 0 0
ODI 0 82 21 465 2073 2457 287 0
CDI 0 1 0 8 153 2302 3525 318
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 63 1443 817

Date: 2018-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8998 5321 27 46 0 0 0 0
OW 1 752 57 384 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 356 52 1232 867 21 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 153 2375 1053 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 190 3589 867 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1208 3996 496
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8997 4830 36 183 1 0 0 0
OW 1 666 33 365 60 4 0 0
VODI 1 777 50 886 1800 290 4 0
ODI 0 161 21 351 1409 2788 312 0
CDI 0 1 0 34 170 2736 3497 264
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 53 1069 232


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