Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-07-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1401 8036 126 504 170 9 0 0
OW 1 611 68 899 364 19 0 0
VODI 0 71 24 830 1525 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 159 4290 2547 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 552 6438 1705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 927 757 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3309 7080 71 268 94 8 0 0
OW 113 514 75 1108 150 16 0 0
VODI 6 60 12 910 1693 21 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 247 4725 2270 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 357 4831 2900 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 57 1093 78
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4351 6647 77 269 38 2 0 0
OW 23 280 75 914 43 8 0 0
VODI 0 19 10 1482 759 16 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 34 5568 944 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 133 5534 2865 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 63 1231 695
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4704 6520 65 278 64 0 0 0
OW 1 368 68 947 105 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 9 985 1817 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 3923 2736 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 6 3129 4003 495
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 650 1131
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4704 6446 73 512 78 0 0 0
OW 1 407 52 699 173 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 17 950 1605 17 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 78 4050 2570 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 9 3295 3885 506
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 754 1120

Date: 2018-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5995 5548 60 442 24 0 0 0
OW 21 317 85 819 253 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 9 796 2364 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 2565 4415 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 3779 3060 64
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 817 572
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5933 5571 70 631 73 0 0 0
OW 83 272 70 623 323 1 0 0
VODI 0 38 13 760 2170 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 66 2628 4220 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 3956 3100 65
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 6 786 571

Date: 2018-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6268 5533 49 393 9 0 0 0
OW 1 350 74 551 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 17 1165 369 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 73 5190 354 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 270 6520 473 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 262 3925 175
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6248 5563 72 717 54 0 0 0
OW 21 320 56 670 385 1 0 0
VODI 0 27 12 723 2527 152 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 72 2862 3741 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 40 3120 3711 169
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 124 687 6

Date: 2018-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6133 6107 67 198 5 0 0 0
OW 1 416 66 515 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 27 1445 625 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 360 4302 960 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 800 3990 1811 184
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 71 2637 1286
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6133 6114 90 559 27 0 0 0
OW 1 403 51 846 339 2 0 0
VODI 0 64 19 991 2538 240 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 121 2825 3001 262 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 18 1778 4186 1026
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 444

Date: 2018-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6814 5697 30 100 0 0 0 0
OW 1 627 75 340 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 316 55 1246 937 11 0 0
ODI 0 28 8 356 2815 2279 322 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 182 2199 3544 378
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 81 2181 1453
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6814 5705 70 474 50 0 0 0
OW 1 600 42 654 409 12 0 0
VODI 0 328 53 876 2217 944 72 0
ODI 0 35 3 38 1265 2907 1762 17
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 707 4213 1767
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47


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