Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-07-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 6295 170 1065 215 119 0 0
OW 1 477 88 1504 497 39 0 0
VODI 0 20 7 945 1823 42 0 0
ODI 0 21 2 80 2285 887 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 14 1853 10047 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2047 1331 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 292 7005 170 976 222 54 0 0
OW 0 544 97 1650 457 27 0 0
VODI 0 15 5 919 1511 26 0 0
ODI 0 28 5 123 2403 1023 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 2170 7837 1745 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 841 1329 570
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 644 7804 143 556 177 33 0 0
OW 0 581 117 1049 149 16 0 0
VODI 0 76 16 1291 972 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 94 4710 683 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 815 7734 1914 84
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 475 1402 513
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1210 7933 113 512 180 2 0 0
OW 1 678 83 954 261 8 0 0
VODI 0 77 25 941 1283 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 128 4015 2246 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 567 6859 1919 70
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 894 931 165
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1210 7965 125 561 223 1 0 0
OW 1 610 73 826 248 10 0 0
VODI 0 113 23 990 1306 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 155 3726 2403 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 803 6716 1887 41
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 853 967 194

Date: 2018-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2333 7655 91 356 102 6 0 0
OW 67 615 71 1065 146 13 0 0
VODI 0 107 12 1004 1506 19 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 172 4635 2325 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 335 5139 2871 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 326 1103 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2330 7702 101 476 108 9 0 0
OW 70 531 61 873 194 12 0 0
VODI 0 141 12 1024 1482 19 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 224 4487 2393 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 453 5061 2753 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 334 1221 0

Date: 2018-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3224 7558 71 239 46 2 0 0
OW 73 341 74 674 29 7 0 0
VODI 0 37 8 1689 456 18 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 73 5884 398 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 256 6704 2040 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 57 1624 492
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3220 7331 83 514 72 10 0 0
OW 76 482 62 902 358 19 0 0
VODI 1 117 8 966 1566 41 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 290 4427 2682 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 248 4421 2994 112
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 670 383

Date: 2018-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4472 6631 61 288 56 0 0 0
OW 1 342 81 953 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 4 1021 1480 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 22 4670 2006 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 85 3886 3778 253
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 1095 760
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4472 6414 80 641 198 1 0 0
OW 1 464 52 706 493 7 0 0
VODI 0 105 14 762 2160 94 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 175 3408 3706 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 94 2143 4659 620
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 181 393

Date: 2018-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6396 5034 46 318 35 0 0 0
OW 55 340 87 877 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 26 16 929 2058 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 3169 3648 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 12 3575 3669 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 1215 354
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6419 4830 62 728 404 4 0 0
OW 32 382 53 574 568 11 0 0
VODI 0 166 29 633 2220 750 0 0
ODI 0 22 5 216 2163 4284 342 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 45 2231 4321 354
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 221 0


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