Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-07-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86023 9935 134 862 132 0 0 0
OW 14 70 26 732 370 3 1 0
VODI 0 14 5 261 1039 26 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 1078 523 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 177 1031 274 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1169 2401 2730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87090 9049 133 919 38 0 0 0
OW 10 105 19 795 386 4 1 0
VODI 0 4 7 257 1033 52 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 878 647 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 119 1044 160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1582 3572 1127
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87636 8548 130 864 73 0 0 0
OW 10 99 20 731 211 3 1 0
VODI 0 7 6 365 897 8 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 1253 306 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 171 1300 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1494 4519 249
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87876 8370 141 955 78 0 0 0
OW 2 116 20 788 299 4 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 321 962 26 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 1014 376 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 351 1261 131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1842 4078 50
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87875 8356 141 1235 132 0 0 0
OW 3 113 18 520 268 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 309 902 34 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 1023 350 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 379 1226 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1899 4128 50

Date: 2018-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88085 8434 140 1052 115 0 0 0
OW 1 73 20 761 377 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 205 1089 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 866 388 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 317 1264 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3459 2310 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88085 8412 141 1285 145 0 0 0
OW 1 92 18 516 354 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 216 1053 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 884 340 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 328 1279 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3457 2320 0

Date: 2018-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88353 8696 133 767 127 0 0 0
OW 0 83 36 596 172 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 446 725 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 1790 142 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 812 1261 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 4407 402 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88352 8711 145 1134 310 0 0 0
OW 1 64 21 392 501 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 5 222 986 186 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 808 164 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 903 680 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 170 4793 363 0

Date: 2018-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89156 8211 126 841 133 0 0 0
OW 0 124 22 655 221 1 0 0
VODI 0 25 7 408 1054 21 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 58 1313 200 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 446 1591 105 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3757 617 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89156 8230 124 1203 366 0 0 0
OW 0 89 21 424 581 5 0 0
VODI 0 37 9 217 1051 53 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 89 566 170 7 0
CDI 0 1 1 32 603 1183 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4159 639 0

Date: 2018-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89333 8147 126 999 110 0 0 0
OW 0 114 21 633 397 5 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 377 1197 28 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 70 889 264 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 118 1942 234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1715 2337 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89333 8166 131 1309 629 0 0 0
OW 0 75 14 382 541 10 0 0
VODI 0 36 6 298 834 45 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 86 526 187 23 0
CDI 0 1 0 4 181 1763 260 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1949 2301 0


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