Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-07-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 3732 83 547 482 10 0 0
OW 0 251 84 675 598 41 0 0
VODI 0 12 7 643 1432 167 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 2335 1179 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 700 4274 295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 263 7133 5384 1574
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69 4004 97 680 456 182 1 0
OW 0 272 80 776 544 146 0 0
VODI 0 45 10 617 2211 299 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 122 2095 442 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 38 691 4369 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 219 8379 4546 561
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 4442 121 599 333 104 0 0
OW 0 257 57 698 309 138 0 0
VODI 0 67 22 948 1695 78 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 133 3627 236 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 15 1028 5053 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 447 8766 2556 296
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 4693 137 716 318 196 0 0
OW 0 317 70 889 497 119 0 0
VODI 0 17 12 930 2848 240 0 0
ODI 0 110 0 112 1762 878 0 0
CDI 0 272 0 30 939 5136 47 0
VCDI 0 692 0 102 666 8190 1128 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 4622 144 868 402 235 0 0
OW 0 348 53 697 591 78 0 0
VODI 0 57 22 889 2483 123 0 0
ODI 0 84 0 180 1878 811 0 0
CDI 0 283 0 37 1003 5378 47 0
VCDI 0 707 0 108 673 8134 1128 0

Date: 2018-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 4904 144 854 348 206 0 0
OW 0 301 66 1209 924 59 0 0
VODI 0 40 6 719 2993 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 68 1741 842 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 30 1564 5971 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 366 7278 1377 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 4861 154 1151 430 217 0 0
OW 0 309 47 876 964 46 0 0
VODI 0 75 15 713 2815 64 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 1692 698 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 27 1668 6066 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 367 7317 1377 0

Date: 2018-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 5151 132 753 322 149 4 0
OW 0 394 90 996 245 54 0 0
VODI 0 48 11 1079 1363 65 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 50 3690 180 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 1751 11080 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 4384 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 5145 169 1394 724 224 4 0
OW 0 344 42 854 1196 54 0 0
VODI 0 103 22 556 2402 118 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 49 968 1388 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 45 1296 7546 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 785 6582 0 0

Date: 2018-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130 5708 163 1010 222 120 0 0
OW 2 492 99 1331 266 43 0 0
VODI 0 37 8 1288 1714 52 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 96 2337 624 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1518 10861 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 3 3904 15 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 131 5746 223 1843 555 168 0 0
OW 1 403 34 1263 1051 47 0 0
VODI 0 88 13 548 1686 114 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 37 1022 1342 0 0
CDI 0 11 1 50 1169 8761 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 577 5172 18 0

Date: 2018-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 6295 170 1065 215 119 0 0
OW 1 477 88 1504 497 39 0 0
VODI 0 20 7 945 1823 42 0 0
ODI 0 21 2 80 2285 887 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 14 1853 10047 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2047 1331 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 6341 220 2077 749 174 0 0
OW 1 407 33 1009 1138 42 0 0
VODI 0 43 12 403 1246 134 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 67 991 1390 0 0
CDI 0 19 2 52 2516 8840 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 2601 1353 0


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