Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-07-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 754 5721 170 1468 639 8 0 0
OW 5 125 42 562 904 85 0 0
VODI 0 63 8 359 1082 1092 10 0
ODI 0 41 6 104 1037 932 14 0
CDI 0 69 3 153 2092 1894 54 0
VCDI 0 2 2 17 1879 9819 6105 8546
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 863 6096 202 1444 777 41 0 0
OW 4 193 36 435 912 225 5 0
VODI 0 81 15 452 904 1455 10 0
ODI 0 54 5 144 850 647 10 0
CDI 0 92 6 167 1872 2086 51 0
VCDI 0 27 3 35 1342 10459 6639 7227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1308 6424 203 1479 455 35 2 0
OW 3 158 38 622 395 28 5 0
VODI 0 59 11 695 1573 41 4 0
ODI 0 38 6 257 2475 658 7 0
CDI 0 47 7 151 2634 2983 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1635 8853 9083 3434
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1367 6641 208 1582 487 42 5 0
OW 2 156 30 729 760 39 6 0
VODI 0 56 12 482 2235 802 10 0
ODI 0 23 4 81 1230 585 14 0
CDI 0 43 6 148 2520 3500 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 2155 10527 8641 675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1367 6658 212 1703 819 49 7 0
OW 2 132 28 668 634 32 4 0
VODI 0 62 9 409 1904 686 9 0
ODI 0 26 5 91 1285 647 7 0
CDI 0 41 6 150 2546 3587 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 2199 10494 8664 675

Date: 2018-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1539 7333 185 1431 342 54 0 0
OW 1 210 44 863 885 40 4 0
VODI 0 47 8 495 2684 106 9 0
ODI 0 23 7 69 1127 408 12 0
CDI 0 39 7 234 3273 3275 26 0
VCDI 0 2 0 4 1851 15405 3824 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1539 7368 191 1657 636 60 0 0
OW 1 171 38 653 909 35 4 0
VODI 0 48 8 473 2308 112 9 0
ODI 0 28 7 73 1204 378 6 0
CDI 0 37 7 234 3166 3158 27 0
VCDI 0 2 0 6 1939 15545 3829 0

Date: 2018-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1817 7091 198 1642 219 22 0 0
OW 1 207 51 839 244 31 0 0
VODI 0 19 7 711 1726 74 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 204 2642 329 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 4173 6915 35 0
VCDI 0 2 0 7 1287 11667 3694 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1817 7127 213 2159 871 57 0 0
OW 1 155 37 547 1063 61 0 0
VODI 0 27 3 369 1748 252 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 108 777 571 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 223 2242 4452 35 0
VCDI 0 2 0 7 3590 13645 3693 1

Date: 2018-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1948 7622 205 1618 229 37 0 0
OW 1 220 30 912 408 45 0 0
VODI 0 20 3 726 2143 121 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 125 1394 936 23 0
CDI 0 0 1 4 4182 5899 263 0
VCDI 0 4 0 15 706 11249 4577 191
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1949 7659 209 2151 1153 99 0 0
OW 0 156 21 593 1137 84 1 0
VODI 0 25 4 352 1092 282 2 0
ODI 0 13 3 86 441 691 12 0
CDI 0 9 2 203 2638 4026 169 0
VCDI 0 4 0 15 2601 13105 4688 191

Date: 2018-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2236 8146 186 1583 247 30 0 0
OW 0 161 42 960 833 43 0 0
VODI 0 25 1 926 1594 169 0 0
ODI 0 43 2 205 1689 466 0 0
CDI 0 38 0 108 5083 4485 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 871 12740 2888 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2236 8126 194 2250 1190 87 0 0
OW 0 166 25 653 1009 78 0 0
VODI 0 52 6 380 756 140 0 0
ODI 0 58 2 146 870 369 0 0
CDI 0 11 4 353 3699 3239 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2793 14020 2915 0


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