Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-06-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84835 10595 118 806 106 0 0 0
OW 35 55 28 523 299 3 1 0
VODI 6 1 4 171 1153 111 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 675 614 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 407 1503 1040 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 60 2047 3807
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85534 10074 122 901 115 0 0 0
OW 29 80 34 528 596 8 1 0
VODI 2 0 4 196 914 212 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 607 592 126 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 430 1231 1295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 153 1886 3390
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85805 10137 112 683 71 0 0 0
OW 20 109 28 593 108 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 8 504 743 15 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 1376 139 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 577 1605 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 388 4438 1484
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85995 10014 133 803 63 0 0 0
OW 18 83 33 732 278 3 1 0
VODI 0 8 6 361 949 17 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 1195 428 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 274 1140 241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1500 3302 1471
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85991 10048 150 1437 461 0 0 0
OW 21 51 19 302 501 5 3 0
VODI 1 6 3 153 715 210 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 781 596 65 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 301 1541 472 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 736 3018 1471

Date: 2018-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86906 9153 133 902 63 0 0 0
OW 12 86 20 785 367 2 1 0
VODI 0 15 5 265 1035 43 9 0
ODI 0 0 1 27 964 611 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 136 952 272 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 999 2379 2920
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86904 9185 144 1564 537 2 0 0
OW 14 60 11 257 512 15 3 0
VODI 0 9 4 145 681 286 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 670 614 118 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 165 1505 654 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 185 1911 2919

Date: 2018-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87157 8946 122 763 39 0 0 0
OW 12 113 28 723 101 2 0 0
VODI 0 19 8 499 709 4 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 1522 247 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 146 1468 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1174 2818 2376
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87162 8997 143 1690 550 7 0 0
OW 7 65 9 198 524 42 5 0
VODI 0 16 6 112 837 301 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 510 576 129 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 96 1593 672 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 376 2075 2376

Date: 2018-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87772 8461 138 924 32 0 0 0
OW 9 93 23 826 215 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 347 933 10 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 1088 405 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 335 1211 90 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1725 4180 227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87779 8507 152 1782 585 9 0 0
OW 2 48 10 239 543 41 4 0
VODI 0 0 2 96 885 279 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 516 500 113 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 84 1761 561 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 763 3581 227

Date: 2018-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87879 8429 142 1006 154 0 0 0
OW 1 96 22 724 355 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 235 1092 26 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 970 326 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 359 1286 92 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3179 2679 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87878 8496 155 1748 837 21 2 0
OW 2 28 8 150 663 41 3 0
VODI 0 1 1 80 864 330 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 413 458 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 137 1991 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1986 2550 0


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