Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-06-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 2673 77 477 162 76 0 0
OW 0 267 48 586 488 87 0 0
VODI 0 54 17 424 1770 541 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 100 908 1196 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 408 3587 1903 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 280 4837 7336 3661
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58 2952 83 540 292 16 0 0
OW 0 298 69 584 953 104 0 0
VODI 0 42 17 451 1520 468 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 92 881 1082 26 0
CDI 0 10 0 62 392 4292 1682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 4909 5746 4388
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63 3263 83 486 260 96 0 0
OW 0 283 78 524 338 60 0 0
VODI 0 8 8 684 1013 112 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 2003 725 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 400 5117 949 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 100 3074 8186 4090
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 3576 89 519 385 63 0 0
OW 0 236 82 644 494 117 0 0
VODI 0 6 5 697 1114 202 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 2411 979 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 624 4660 335 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 114 5602 6636 2321
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 3576 118 848 1005 167 0 0
OW 0 217 47 590 803 230 0 0
VODI 0 21 10 373 1495 420 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 91 1134 1564 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 549 4842 446 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 156 4400 6525 2321

Date: 2018-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 3879 97 641 369 105 0 0
OW 0 255 80 717 498 193 0 0
VODI 0 28 17 665 1914 145 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 2420 611 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 28 1059 3840 276 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 974 7455 4901 725
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 3885 128 1071 1016 330 0 0
OW 0 244 50 586 1119 122 0 0
VODI 0 25 11 315 1806 290 0 0
ODI 0 8 5 116 1402 1070 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 1427 4040 349 0
VCDI 0 1 0 15 464 6497 4828 725

Date: 2018-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 4194 115 579 289 60 0 0
OW 0 255 70 582 279 107 0 0
VODI 0 72 20 856 1119 141 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 124 4443 269 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 1 488 5368 269 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 62 7917 3896 446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 4245 156 1193 1265 437 0 0
OW 0 238 35 541 1275 53 0 0
VODI 0 34 11 238 2165 244 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 115 980 1058 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 55 739 5103 305 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 256 6967 3860 446

Date: 2018-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 4631 128 664 252 141 0 0
OW 0 314 55 821 372 146 0 0
VODI 0 75 20 909 2311 167 0 0
ODI 0 24 2 98 2717 417 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 21 893 5390 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 469 9013 1950 45
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 4727 161 1568 1233 459 0 0
OW 0 242 36 430 1205 66 0 0
VODI 0 29 3 356 2161 221 0 0
ODI 0 47 3 98 954 1001 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 72 944 6012 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 517 7515 1950 45

Date: 2018-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 4837 148 706 353 194 0 0
OW 0 382 79 1034 647 89 0 0
VODI 0 50 18 853 3041 59 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 109 2009 675 0 0
CDI 0 61 3 33 1482 5044 140 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 967 7476 1568 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 4958 192 1718 1789 329 0 0
OW 0 223 30 404 1436 29 0 0
VODI 0 62 15 358 1879 211 0 0
ODI 0 47 9 157 716 1062 0 0
CDI 0 45 3 95 1116 6354 274 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 1563 5552 1434 0


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