Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-06-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85124 17408 344 2650 982 77 6 0
OW 44 436 119 1612 1456 122 3 0
VODI 6 100 31 837 4324 1423 15 0
ODI 0 27 10 228 2583 3788 113 0
CDI 0 20 4 238 1462 7084 3360 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 1742 10455 18728 20066
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85896 17472 347 2869 1294 25 0 0
OW 36 527 140 1523 2560 416 1 0
VODI 2 121 36 892 3382 2756 31 0
ODI 0 45 17 238 1967 2472 258 0
CDI 0 42 6 255 1542 7325 3249 0
VCDI 0 2 1 30 1447 9170 19365 19291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86393 18521 346 2661 875 103 0 0
OW 28 508 155 1713 1207 76 0 0
VODI 0 54 29 1562 3113 195 8 0
ODI 0 21 6 154 5176 1695 22 0
CDI 0 18 5 143 2536 9152 1119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1206 13025 18869 16354
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86730 19042 421 2802 1132 73 0 0
OW 23 431 157 1878 1716 200 1 0
VODI 0 54 23 1354 3240 1080 13 0
ODI 0 33 4 177 4593 2634 37 0
CDI 0 48 8 138 2644 7950 613 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 1605 16662 16251 13269
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86727 18802 466 4003 3327 1065 0 0
OW 25 540 92 1137 1981 982 10 0
VODI 1 126 32 765 2768 1031 32 0
ODI 0 50 10 218 2448 2576 90 0
CDI 0 77 8 199 2385 7995 973 0
VCDI 0 13 5 39 2021 14950 15810 13269

Date: 2018-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87757 18887 411 3102 1116 127 0 0
OW 16 493 134 1983 1828 326 4 0
VODI 0 117 30 1296 4042 1422 20 0
ODI 0 51 8 260 4312 2018 47 0
CDI 0 76 6 180 3320 6753 603 0
VCDI 0 23 1 26 2660 18436 13864 11293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87756 18681 450 4428 3596 1603 4 0
OW 17 570 88 1090 1992 586 15 0
VODI 0 168 28 739 2980 903 24 0
ODI 0 68 12 303 2761 2041 145 0
CDI 0 95 10 225 3526 7148 1074 1
VCDI 0 65 2 62 2423 16801 13276 11292

Date: 2018-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88120 19616 454 2736 849 100 0 0
OW 16 519 143 1738 783 148 1 0
VODI 0 137 37 1992 2932 215 5 0
ODI 0 45 7 232 9335 1045 11 0
CDI 0 55 7 132 2750 10459 402 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 865 18385 14966 7795
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88127 19370 518 4516 4990 722 11 0
OW 9 523 67 994 2201 362 9 0
VODI 0 195 32 717 3547 780 25 0
ODI 0 76 12 322 2192 1955 140 0
CDI 0 141 14 233 2921 8448 1005 0
VCDI 0 67 5 64 1663 18085 14195 7795

Date: 2018-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89105 19674 479 3073 793 188 1 0
OW 12 564 110 2251 1261 181 3 0
VODI 0 124 35 1794 4934 926 13 0
ODI 0 54 6 253 5294 1812 7 0
CDI 0 53 5 190 4065 9592 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 2672 19917 15510 1911
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89114 19457 534 5280 3963 1418 21 0
OW 3 502 57 1008 2081 349 16 0
VODI 0 185 19 735 3684 725 40 0
ODI 0 134 7 211 2185 1921 127 0
CDI 0 189 18 309 3208 9994 568 0
VCDI 0 2 0 41 3898 18209 14925 1911

Date: 2018-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89461 19986 494 3232 993 241 5 0
OW 2 717 146 2615 1771 134 6 0
VODI 0 118 37 1679 6866 289 19 0
ODI 0 26 7 232 4099 1422 15 0
CDI 0 92 8 184 6145 8309 257 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 3237 20799 12319 1081
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89460 19964 562 5607 5364 451 39 0
OW 3 497 56 897 2465 182 14 0
VODI 0 200 35 805 3336 722 27 0
ODI 0 118 21 277 1988 1923 67 0
CDI 0 160 18 338 5347 9875 486 0
VCDI 0 1 0 22 4611 18041 11988 1081


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