Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-06-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 45 1785 66 298 80 0 0 0
OW 0 160 38 499 203 3 0 0
VODI 0 78 12 494 746 44 0 0
ODI 0 17 6 255 1620 501 0 0
CDI 0 6 4 114 1527 3703 594 0
VCDI 0 1 0 5 1141 4866 7919 5252
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31 1922 59 401 133 1 0 0
OW 0 162 27 542 340 1 0 0
VODI 0 72 14 387 957 73 7 0
ODI 0 20 3 155 2171 346 7 0
CDI 0 6 4 130 1467 3678 918 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 605 4632 5783 7028
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 2205 72 486 134 28 0 0
OW 0 133 41 497 281 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 415 1300 21 1 0
ODI 0 1 3 114 2634 525 1 0
CDI 0 7 0 74 740 4980 511 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 516 4219 5985 6106
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94 2426 83 469 183 33 0 0
OW 0 195 49 599 402 15 0 0
VODI 0 34 16 423 1833 256 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 113 1285 1171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 595 4280 1098 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 350 5266 7313 3439
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94 2493 99 569 221 36 0 0
OW 0 129 38 547 338 12 0 0
VODI 0 32 10 384 1618 208 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 94 1484 1241 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 630 4247 1143 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 357 5277 7260 3439

Date: 2018-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106 2787 84 515 180 53 0 0
OW 0 274 55 619 751 64 0 0
VODI 0 44 17 418 1623 595 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 106 770 1232 1 0
CDI 0 7 0 51 432 4002 1596 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 119 5209 6866 3504
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106 2898 105 638 214 69 0 0
OW 0 164 42 524 610 45 0 0
VODI 0 40 8 388 1595 547 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 94 894 1321 7 0
CDI 0 7 0 65 428 4004 1610 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 134 5169 6846 3504

Date: 2018-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 3134 82 451 190 12 0 0
OW 0 313 69 461 310 24 0 0
VODI 0 22 15 726 939 56 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 2150 519 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 423 5094 1332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 3400 7451 4702
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 3203 109 687 428 61 0 0
OW 0 221 40 471 962 114 0 0
VODI 0 42 15 415 1470 576 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 78 707 1187 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 385 3660 2402 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 139 3507 6364 4702

Date: 2018-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72 3391 85 531 298 72 0 0
OW 0 237 83 633 424 78 0 0
VODI 0 5 7 660 1071 212 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 2076 876 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 678 4907 585 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 103 4690 8238 1999
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72 3395 111 858 703 156 0 0
OW 0 183 49 521 954 294 0 0
VODI 0 47 12 388 1355 516 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 84 869 1299 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 43 607 4289 1466 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 162 4281 7357 1999

Date: 2018-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 3732 83 547 482 10 0 0
OW 0 251 84 675 598 41 0 0
VODI 0 12 7 643 1432 167 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 2335 1179 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 700 4274 295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 263 7133 5384 1574
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 3746 110 980 1197 103 0 0
OW 0 209 49 506 1065 158 0 0
VODI 0 33 13 392 1285 453 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 50 1279 1405 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 698 5112 291 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 286 5573 5388 1574


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