Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-06-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81928 17470 329 2018 929 37 0 0
OW 36 532 118 1363 967 121 10 0
VODI 1 191 45 1028 2105 590 23 0
ODI 0 70 13 534 2969 2002 196 0
CDI 0 43 12 337 2724 9160 2550 4
VCDI 0 23 5 93 2002 9856 24238 20376
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83625 16393 319 2230 1065 53 5 0
OW 78 508 113 1286 1337 106 6 0
VODI 14 180 43 997 2621 632 57 0
ODI 0 73 10 403 3866 2033 235 0
CDI 0 44 14 399 3183 8594 2540 0
VCDI 0 0 0 179 1994 10410 19279 22124
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84757 16209 318 2470 930 36 7 0
OW 62 361 139 1556 895 17 3 0
VODI 13 50 16 1026 3094 88 10 0
ODI 0 24 7 252 5625 2394 36 0
CDI 0 17 1 245 2191 9982 1594 0
VCDI 0 5 1 11 1678 8278 19060 23590
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84496 17536 351 2646 846 52 4 0
OW 47 371 134 1644 1213 36 5 0
VODI 9 74 28 903 4570 428 10 0
ODI 0 20 10 230 3655 3495 84 0
CDI 0 18 3 250 1766 7800 2779 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1649 11420 18663 19802
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84500 17630 381 2964 905 60 6 0
OW 42 266 103 1398 1175 35 2 0
VODI 10 72 25 833 4293 422 15 0
ODI 0 31 14 212 3728 3187 102 0
CDI 0 20 3 264 1913 8010 2743 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 1685 11517 18677 19802

Date: 2018-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85398 17577 338 2767 1105 61 0 0
OW 42 468 129 1566 2030 211 3 0
VODI 4 106 33 860 3667 2404 13 0
ODI 0 26 11 271 2197 3235 94 0
CDI 0 28 6 225 1588 7325 2897 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 1533 9488 18285 21031
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85401 17702 372 3221 1191 79 0 0
OW 35 327 100 1193 1957 257 3 0
VODI 8 103 25 783 3436 2247 13 0
ODI 0 39 12 244 2301 3076 78 0
CDI 0 34 8 247 1674 7396 2834 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 1561 9669 18364 21031

Date: 2018-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85575 18643 332 2446 860 21 0 0
OW 37 849 144 1513 727 51 0 0
VODI 0 137 26 1561 2694 113 6 0
ODI 0 20 5 170 5862 1073 20 0
CDI 0 20 5 140 1774 10690 1634 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1212 10276 18523 19889
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85581 18635 368 3342 1664 86 0 0
OW 29 682 79 1134 2552 249 3 0
VODI 2 211 38 841 3935 1743 23 0
ODI 0 71 9 199 1794 2298 125 0
CDI 0 67 17 279 1595 7069 3680 0
VCDI 0 3 1 35 1589 10779 16352 19889

Date: 2018-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87271 18050 379 2589 1155 77 0 0
OW 27 422 159 1820 1590 127 1 0
VODI 0 46 18 1293 3104 940 5 0
ODI 0 21 4 161 4241 2725 21 0
CDI 0 21 5 131 2366 8947 803 1
VCDI 0 0 0 12 1618 15605 19546 11747
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87277 17747 418 3571 2892 485 0 0
OW 20 442 89 1182 2297 1387 3 0
VODI 1 196 30 745 2649 1580 24 0
ODI 0 92 12 206 1989 2378 25 0
CDI 0 83 16 274 2311 7486 2643 3
VCDI 0 0 0 28 1936 15105 17681 11745

Date: 2018-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86859 19388 387 2877 1253 18 0 0
OW 19 446 152 1969 1872 129 1 0
VODI 0 89 20 1263 3553 1285 19 0
ODI 0 41 6 212 4450 2634 47 0
CDI 0 69 3 167 2969 7199 623 2
VCDI 0 2 2 20 2142 18121 13890 12850
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86860 19023 422 4154 3688 1005 0 0
OW 18 528 84 1028 2232 918 3 0
VODI 0 207 33 758 2392 1192 59 0
ODI 0 134 19 215 2427 2393 129 0
CDI 0 128 9 306 2756 8190 1528 21
VCDI 0 15 3 47 2744 15688 12861 12831


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