Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-06-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77356 14082 228 1985 745 20 0 0
OW 50 123 27 672 360 14 0 0
VODI 0 12 8 269 913 113 5 0
ODI 0 1 0 56 684 504 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 290 2204 703 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 856 4467 2337
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78024 14114 196 1993 472 11 0 0
OW 50 187 28 559 347 51 0 0
VODI 0 32 15 302 827 194 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 68 436 618 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 338 2134 547 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 641 4539 2332
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78103 14810 175 1377 291 13 0 0
OW 50 197 51 581 126 20 0 0
VODI 0 27 7 466 531 60 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 43 894 271 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 321 2490 411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 348 3040 4353
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79554 13632 159 1107 306 25 0 0
OW 44 218 48 553 183 27 2 0
VODI 0 51 19 380 676 90 10 0
ODI 0 17 2 85 646 441 34 0
CDI 0 4 2 36 683 1939 558 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1128 3792 2628
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79554 13692 170 1243 327 30 0 0
OW 44 156 36 440 212 19 3 0
VODI 0 54 17 334 648 126 9 0
ODI 0 18 6 104 562 487 39 0
CDI 0 2 1 40 750 1826 571 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1162 3774 2628

Date: 2018-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79561 13679 182 1145 343 12 0 0
OW 43 195 33 525 275 33 3 0
VODI 0 77 13 218 809 118 8 0
ODI 0 19 1 56 535 557 127 0
CDI 0 3 3 38 651 1573 809 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1075 3579 2797
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79561 13718 192 1318 359 15 0 0
OW 43 163 22 380 307 30 4 0
VODI 0 66 10 175 750 147 9 0
ODI 0 26 6 58 482 543 162 0
CDI 0 0 2 51 714 1501 771 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1132 3580 2797

Date: 2018-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79898 13688 178 841 280 15 0 0
OW 41 188 52 460 121 5 1 0
VODI 0 26 8 388 502 28 5 0
ODI 0 7 2 27 992 148 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 441 2427 561 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 452 3928 3369
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79898 13710 206 1200 381 18 1 0
OW 41 107 18 301 429 55 10 0
VODI 0 61 7 134 683 244 23 0
ODI 0 26 7 39 352 580 380 0
CDI 0 5 2 50 491 1754 731 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 424 3363 3369

Date: 2018-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80670 13211 155 819 265 3 0 0
OW 32 166 53 447 159 11 1 0
VODI 2 38 13 274 661 52 4 0
ODI 0 3 2 56 853 245 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 587 2443 667 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 853 3186 3143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80662 13163 185 1129 474 31 0 0
OW 42 112 20 220 453 113 3 0
VODI 0 75 6 143 619 311 26 0
ODI 0 37 8 43 409 667 334 0
CDI 0 31 4 71 570 2024 704 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 461 2807 3131

Date: 2018-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81773 12570 120 645 258 2 0 0
OW 25 194 44 470 165 7 2 0
VODI 1 59 18 281 685 91 10 0
ODI 0 14 3 80 773 533 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 540 1511 1205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 127 2466 4360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81763 12402 139 944 547 35 3 0
OW 36 175 21 202 423 164 3 0
VODI 0 113 14 175 489 440 87 0
ODI 0 68 6 77 423 476 423 0
CDI 0 79 5 98 539 1138 1670 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 1545 4359


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