Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-06-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 8 21 3 0 0 0
OW 0 42 8 36 22 8 7 0
VODI 0 27 14 76 87 47 13 8
ODI 0 36 15 101 111 92 71 22
CDI 0 189 27 197 530 563 394 53
VCDI 0 158 16 162 770 5806 13598 8632
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 6 30 5 0 0 0
OW 0 31 7 35 10 7 5 0
VODI 0 18 13 73 83 65 15 5
ODI 0 37 7 97 157 107 62 21
CDI 0 186 30 234 694 703 492 74
VCDI 0 148 15 185 689 4371 12016 11234
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 143 11 23 1 0 0 0
OW 0 49 18 76 40 12 6 0
VODI 0 112 19 176 147 57 6 0
ODI 0 133 8 147 283 120 23 0
CDI 0 269 37 325 1319 1256 381 10
VCDI 0 116 14 83 710 3128 11054 11770
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 223 12 31 2 0 0 0
OW 0 125 26 127 87 5 3 0
VODI 0 208 15 184 166 26 10 0
ODI 0 197 24 248 346 113 35 0
CDI 0 312 40 403 1584 1153 383 0
VCDI 0 97 11 65 693 5750 11460 7918
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 238 18 63 33 0 0 0
OW 0 107 20 95 57 4 3 0
VODI 0 200 17 177 161 25 9 0
ODI 0 185 17 256 337 106 35 0
CDI 0 326 43 401 1516 1082 363 0
VCDI 0 106 13 66 774 5830 11481 7918

Date: 2018-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 440 20 95 1 0 0 0
OW 0 245 19 92 18 16 3 0
VODI 0 325 31 228 145 54 13 0
ODI 0 252 23 324 357 231 51 0
CDI 0 211 27 420 1632 2034 564 9
VCDI 0 18 2 75 654 3154 11437 8862
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 473 21 103 1 0 0 0
OW 0 222 17 80 25 15 3 0
VODI 0 302 29 225 139 65 12 0
ODI 0 205 22 300 343 225 38 0
CDI 0 237 28 436 1621 1972 567 10
VCDI 0 52 5 90 678 3212 11448 8861

Date: 2018-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 1338 41 107 3 0 0 0
OW 0 265 25 218 41 5 0 0
VODI 0 112 28 582 384 12 0 0
ODI 0 55 7 269 1280 199 5 0
CDI 0 6 7 343 2176 2904 126 2
VCDI 0 1 0 7 662 2840 9401 8628
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 666 27 85 7 2 0 0
OW 0 298 10 89 34 10 0 0
VODI 0 363 22 262 228 59 0 0
ODI 0 246 27 346 487 262 38 0
CDI 0 185 20 579 2298 2419 271 30
VCDI 0 19 2 165 1492 3208 9223 8600

Date: 2018-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 1619 58 276 39 0 0 0
OW 0 195 23 347 145 3 0 0
VODI 0 79 10 464 646 24 0 0
ODI 0 20 14 336 1307 340 14 0
CDI 0 3 2 274 2041 3103 402 0
VCDI 0 8 0 7 73 6342 9227 4600
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 683 30 141 20 1 0 0
OW 0 358 11 136 67 6 0 0
VODI 0 436 18 302 248 46 5 0
ODI 0 303 26 386 610 274 27 0
CDI 0 136 22 622 2919 2506 565 0
VCDI 0 8 0 117 387 6979 9046 4600

Date: 2018-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 45 1785 66 298 80 0 0 0
OW 0 160 38 499 203 3 0 0
VODI 0 78 12 494 746 44 0 0
ODI 0 17 6 255 1620 501 0 0
CDI 0 6 4 114 1527 3703 594 0
VCDI 0 1 0 5 1141 4866 7919 5252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 45 899 31 175 77 0 0 0
OW 0 392 17 137 84 6 0 0
VODI 0 513 25 383 292 54 2 0
ODI 0 217 36 542 941 330 22 0
CDI 0 24 17 422 2796 3669 727 0
VCDI 0 2 0 6 1127 5058 7762 5252


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