Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-05-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 5 32 1 0 0 0
OW 0 5 0 37 10 0 4 0
VODI 0 3 3 23 39 24 12 0
ODI 0 3 1 44 90 72 23 15
CDI 0 37 5 60 265 331 413 38
VCDI 0 12 2 174 762 4497 11347 13631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 1 20 2 5 8 0
VODI 0 12 6 53 53 40 2 0
ODI 0 7 5 88 81 68 32 0
CDI 0 71 7 180 291 417 501 2
VCDI 0 36 11 220 616 5352 11410 12338
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 4 10 1 0 0 0
OW 0 39 14 39 6 4 5 0
VODI 0 37 13 86 87 44 15 0
ODI 0 32 13 98 142 78 49 0
CDI 0 221 34 250 354 508 387 0
VCDI 0 75 10 120 618 4396 13563 10615
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 9 21 1 0 0 0
OW 0 42 8 31 21 9 7 0
VODI 0 27 15 84 88 43 10 7
ODI 0 41 12 100 112 95 49 21
CDI 0 214 29 210 488 533 393 49
VCDI 0 136 13 146 791 5860 13439 8816
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 11 22 1 0 0 0
OW 0 29 7 28 31 18 7 0
VODI 0 30 15 77 78 35 9 4
ODI 0 39 9 115 104 96 51 24
CDI 0 197 30 202 482 600 405 55
VCDI 0 155 14 148 805 5791 13426 8810

Date: 2018-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 8 26 2 0 0 0
OW 0 37 8 35 15 4 2 0
VODI 0 18 10 74 85 49 22 8
ODI 0 32 8 101 120 95 75 24
CDI 0 178 28 207 617 599 425 58
VCDI 0 160 17 154 681 5173 13772 9040
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 120 9 36 3 0 0 0
OW 0 32 8 22 16 12 7 0
VODI 0 19 9 71 90 45 14 5
ODI 0 27 6 99 115 89 75 27
CDI 0 180 33 221 610 668 463 62
VCDI 0 162 14 148 686 5106 13737 9036

Date: 2018-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 8 21 5 0 0 0
OW 0 60 12 33 18 3 3 0
VODI 0 69 21 188 147 51 9 0
ODI 0 105 14 127 313 86 26 0
CDI 0 210 33 276 1149 1645 180 10
VCDI 0 118 9 65 387 3104 11716 11736
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 127 8 29 5 0 0 0
OW 0 35 3 16 25 24 5 0
VODI 0 33 16 81 98 59 14 0
ODI 0 38 12 139 166 114 113 8
CDI 0 202 29 247 851 885 516 17
VCDI 0 252 29 198 874 3807 11286 11721

Date: 2018-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 183 9 24 4 2 0 0
OW 0 67 19 108 82 10 0 0
VODI 0 169 12 153 164 47 10 0
ODI 0 169 14 147 341 125 35 0
CDI 0 269 36 322 1131 1422 537 0
VCDI 0 140 14 98 380 5731 10425 9683
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 3 19 9 3 0 0
OW 0 39 5 25 34 28 5 0
VODI 0 46 17 109 130 64 38 0
ODI 0 115 11 132 210 133 128 0
CDI 0 351 34 354 1049 1204 754 0
VCDI 0 320 34 213 670 5905 10082 9683

Date: 2018-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 319 13 60 13 0 0 0
OW 0 197 19 117 26 8 4 0
VODI 0 315 24 202 143 49 9 0
ODI 0 232 24 302 314 198 39 0
CDI 0 266 38 392 1504 1641 463 2
VCDI 0 44 8 81 537 5481 14913 4085
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 131 4 20 0 3 0 0
OW 0 79 13 36 15 46 10 0
VODI 0 121 10 114 71 118 36 0
ODI 0 229 18 141 175 212 133 34
CDI 0 406 51 590 1138 1483 673 118
VCDI 0 407 30 253 1138 5515 14576 3935


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