Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-05-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 3 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 1 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 19 5 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 16 26 15 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 115 173 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 313 2094 12432 16528
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 3 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 19 2 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 18 8 19 5 0
CDI 0 4 2 41 110 209 199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 234 2208 15254 13624
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 3 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 5 34 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 24 26 5 1 0
ODI 0 1 0 20 29 54 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 231 531 77 0
VCDI 0 0 0 50 499 2690 13850 13833
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 5 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 38 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 15 25 20 5 0
ODI 0 0 1 29 59 55 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 269 387 341 21
VCDI 0 0 0 99 696 3275 11290 15291
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 6 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 35 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 16 31 20 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 63 61 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 268 370 355 21
VCDI 0 0 0 96 693 3286 11275 15291

Date: 2018-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 0 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 4 24 8 5 6 0
VODI 0 10 0 42 42 34 7 0
ODI 0 2 3 86 70 76 29 0
CDI 0 55 6 123 268 380 438 0
VCDI 0 25 11 232 594 5585 11034 12749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 111 1 11 0 0 1 0
OW 0 12 3 24 6 7 5 0
VODI 0 7 0 48 46 33 7 0
ODI 0 2 4 75 71 84 31 0
CDI 0 59 5 131 270 386 464 0
VCDI 0 21 11 232 589 5570 11006 12749

Date: 2018-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 4 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 2 43 2 3 4 0
VODI 0 11 12 124 83 31 11 0
ODI 0 33 11 94 156 72 39 0
CDI 0 172 29 273 369 525 387 0
VCDI 0 37 6 101 482 4619 13403 10800
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 124 2 13 0 1 4 0
OW 0 14 4 34 7 17 7 0
VODI 0 5 10 71 74 48 21 0
ODI 0 32 10 86 83 82 80 0
CDI 0 139 23 241 294 407 570 0
VCDI 0 75 15 198 634 4695 13162 10800

Date: 2018-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 7 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 42 11 35 14 8 6 0
VODI 0 27 10 85 91 45 13 1
ODI 0 40 10 96 138 90 53 1
CDI 0 233 31 215 431 514 392 1
VCDI 0 102 15 139 747 5541 12298 10471
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 117 7 23 10 3 1 0
OW 0 35 8 21 34 23 7 0
VODI 0 19 12 67 63 62 34 1
ODI 0 50 11 82 109 89 82 2
CDI 0 239 34 256 364 503 576 47
VCDI 0 94 12 138 843 5518 12062 10424

Date: 2018-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 8 21 3 0 0 0
OW 0 42 8 36 22 8 7 0
VODI 0 27 14 76 87 47 13 8
ODI 0 36 15 101 111 92 71 22
CDI 0 189 27 197 530 563 394 53
VCDI 0 158 16 162 770 5806 13598 8632
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 11 27 27 6 3 0
OW 0 32 6 18 32 22 9 0
VODI 0 30 13 68 58 78 21 18
ODI 0 70 20 102 103 81 98 43
CDI 0 272 30 264 486 630 626 112
VCDI 0 44 8 114 817 5699 13326 8542


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