Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-05-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 36 43 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 51 161 109 75
VCDI 0 0 0 3 179 1494 11847 18045
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 18 11 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 35 84 122 1
VCDI 0 0 0 6 90 1711 11835 18140
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 39 5 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 137 82 64 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 120 1890 12833 16870
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 1 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 3 9 1 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 30 12 10 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 121 155 68 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 153 1562 11882 17992
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 3 8 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 23 9 12 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 97 143 74 7
VCDI 0 0 0 1 181 1572 11874 17989

Date: 2018-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 2 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 25 4 1 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 102 111 114 13
VCDI 0 0 0 1 153 1947 11946 17547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 2 4 0 0 1 0
ODI 0 16 1 18 1 1 7 0
CDI 0 0 2 53 89 101 116 38
VCDI 0 0 0 5 169 1957 11944 17522

Date: 2018-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 6 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 38 1 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 38 10 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 133 267 48 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2146 12596 16676
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 4 5 1 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 24 9 21 5 0
CDI 0 2 2 40 75 150 148 12
VCDI 0 0 0 15 105 2251 12493 16673

Date: 2018-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 5 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 1 18 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 19 17 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 26 14 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 110 202 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 144 2514 12934 15872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 0 0 1 1 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 4 10 7 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 14 13 22 9 0
CDI 0 11 1 35 31 226 155 8
VCDI 0 0 1 28 243 2476 12886 15864

Date: 2018-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 3 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 1 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 19 5 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 16 26 15 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 115 173 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 313 2094 12432 16528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 6 5 0 0
VODI 0 7 0 0 7 19 11 0
ODI 0 19 0 0 4 64 45 1
CDI 0 9 4 47 29 234 219 13
VCDI 0 7 2 41 413 1962 12399 16514


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