Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-05-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 10 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 25 112 109 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 914 8487 22314
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 19 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 109 82 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 113 968 9973 20806
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 14 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 34 12 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 93 113 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 384 1010 9950 20337
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 39 42 17 53
CDI 0 0 0 19 75 144 108 102
VCDI 0 0 0 61 154 1454 12487 17323
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 34 41 12 47
CDI 0 0 0 15 76 136 107 111
VCDI 0 0 0 65 158 1463 12493 17320

Date: 2018-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 29 26 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 46 158 137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 96 1438 12220 17893
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 27 29 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 47 167 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 99 1425 12235 17893

Date: 2018-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 19 8 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 87 108 50 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 1982 12439 17320
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 4 6 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 31 99 110 42
VCDI 0 0 0 0 105 1993 12377 17294

Date: 2018-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 3 0 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 25 0 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 141 90 84 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 1633 11515 18317
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 0 0 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 5 6 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 34 125 122 88
VCDI 0 0 0 18 294 1592 11460 18250

Date: 2018-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 2 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 3 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 26 9 2 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 158 128 95 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 100 1358 11930 18165
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 6 0 2 2 0
ODI 0 6 4 12 2 2 33 1
CDI 0 2 3 33 21 119 209 50
VCDI 0 0 0 24 244 1365 11787 18142


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