Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70342 15106 199 995 680 136 1 0
OW 69 420 44 424 492 182 3 0
VODI 7 170 17 287 643 256 42 0
ODI 1 5 1 101 537 279 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 504 775 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 371 2637 8052 5115
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71043 14487 178 988 786 202 4 0
OW 65 415 51 411 442 177 10 0
VODI 5 158 20 243 597 288 50 0
ODI 0 5 0 92 432 382 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 522 964 358 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 206 1585 8436 5453
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71407 14231 178 1036 690 112 0 0
OW 62 187 45 544 425 86 0 0
VODI 0 25 7 337 719 217 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 579 475 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 535 1034 212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 155 2048 7881 5767
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71146 14328 170 1307 695 83 0 0
OW 61 166 49 454 574 120 1 0
VODI 0 26 7 255 646 306 43 0
ODI 0 0 0 54 504 454 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 380 1055 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 124 1465 8107 6146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71129 14085 167 1371 1073 188 9 0
OW 74 291 46 360 481 194 23 0
VODI 4 123 9 241 452 321 42 0
ODI 0 21 4 82 334 380 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 386 792 310 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 197 1608 8073 6146

Date: 2018-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69764 15374 199 1443 1015 122 0 0
OW 64 185 39 315 600 161 13 0
VODI 0 25 7 200 610 363 65 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 463 398 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 385 1042 431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 100 1914 7733 5951
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69748 15221 207 1484 1384 247 21 0
OW 73 228 24 246 423 237 35 0
VODI 7 101 12 193 458 319 48 0
ODI 0 34 2 64 351 357 94 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 377 878 432 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 180 1962 7687 5951

Date: 2018-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70551 14734 211 1414 750 83 0 0
OW 63 91 39 486 415 133 2 0
VODI 0 4 2 268 770 215 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 809 406 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 443 1475 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 59 1971 7747 5722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70532 14543 211 1670 1312 279 1 0
OW 80 176 28 241 424 274 12 0
VODI 2 93 12 193 452 320 53 0
ODI 0 17 1 55 421 304 111 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 423 803 223 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 214 2303 7552 5722

Date: 2018-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70740 14751 236 1603 852 154 3 0
OW 63 69 26 385 448 171 14 0
VODI 0 2 0 171 748 340 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 559 468 90 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 500 935 213 0
VCDI 0 7 2 42 149 2526 7713 5073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70731 14527 224 1669 1353 418 41 0
OW 72 193 22 197 351 272 40 0
VODI 0 88 15 184 349 338 68 0
ODI 0 14 1 89 382 320 115 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 517 705 231 0
VCDI 0 7 2 45 304 2541 7560 5073

Date: 2018-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72213 14073 194 1392 751 126 3 0
OW 63 131 33 383 516 164 12 0
VODI 0 4 2 180 727 415 33 0
ODI 0 3 1 51 432 445 61 0
CDI 0 10 2 46 536 1053 206 0
VCDI 0 8 3 54 275 3035 6722 4742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72210 13739 182 1521 1323 386 52 0
OW 66 272 14 104 304 246 9 0
VODI 0 179 20 154 289 329 78 0
ODI 0 26 16 165 340 309 65 0
CDI 0 9 1 116 568 967 175 0
VCDI 0 4 2 46 413 3001 6658 4742


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